Zerillo’s MLB Daily Betting Model, 7/21: Can Giants’ Conner Menez Top Mets in MLB Debut?

Credit:

Stan Szeto-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Stephen Vogt and Alex Dickerson

Jul 21, 2019, 11:14 AM EDT
  • Sean Zerillo's MLB model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game and first five (F5) innings.
  • He analyzes Sunday's slate of games, including how to bet Giants-Mets (4:05 p.m. ET).
  • Plug in your odds to the spreadsheet at the bottom of this article to see where you might have an edge.
We could be in for a relatively chalky Sunday, with six favorites listed at -190 or higher on the board. Though I see a lot of line value in the market, I was pretty hesitant about selecting many of the potential moneyline plays — I don’t like most of the matchups.
That being said, the Orioles and Royals are in extremely contrarian spots against divisional opponents, and while I don’t typically bet those teams, I do think that one of the two is going to pull an upset this afternoon.

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model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
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