UFC 265 Odds, Pick & Prediction for Tecia Torres vs. Angela Hill: Will Rematch End With Stoppage? (Saturday, Aug. 7)

UFC 265 Odds, Pick & Prediction for Tecia Torres vs. Angela Hill: Will Rematch End With Stoppage? (Saturday, Aug. 7) article feature image
Credit:

Josh Hedges/Zuffa LLC. Pictured (L-R): UFC fighters Tecia Torres and Angela Hill.

  • In a rematch from June 2015, Tecia Torres and Angela Hill face off in the strawweight division.
  • Torres won the first meeting six years ago and has won her last two fights, while Hill recently won back in March.
  • Sean Zerillo breaks down the matchup and delivers his pick below.

Tecia Torres vs. Angela Hill Odds

Torres Odds
-145
Hill Odds
+125
Over/Under
2.5 (-475 / +325)
Venue
Toyota Center
Time
10:30 p.m. ET
Channel
ESPN PPV
Odds as of Friday and via DraftKings.

There are a number of great fights on the undercard beneath the explosive main event, and one of the most interesting is the second fight between Tecia Torres and Angela Hill.

These two met for the first time in June 2015, and Torres won by unanimous decision. Keep in mind that method of victory, because it’s going to be a recurring theme here.

Let’s break down the lone women’s fight on the UFC 265 main card in Houston.

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Tale of the Tape

Torres Hill
Record 12-5 13-9
Avg. Fight Time 13:32 13:44
Height 5’1″ 5’3″
Weight (pounds) 115 lbs. 115 lbs.
Reach (inches) 60″ 64″
Stance Orthodox Orthodox
Date of birth 8/16/89 1/12/85
Sig Strikes Per Min 4.30 5.66
SS Accuracy 47% 50%
SS Absorbed Per Min 3.37 4.98
SS Defense 62% 64%
Take Down Avg 0.68 0.45
TD Acc 15% 36%
TD Def 56% 76%
Submission Avg 0.1 0.1

Since that bout in 2015, Torres’ record has been spotty: She was undefeated as a pro leading up to the first Hill fight, but is just 6-5 since then, with all of her losses coming by unanimous decision.

The past three years in particular have not been productive for the Tiny Tornado, as she lost four fights in a row from February 2018 to August 2019, before getting two back in 2020. She is coming off an eight-month layoff entering this bout.

Hill’s record hasn’t been too much better, but at the very least she’s been more active over the past year-and-a-half. Since the calendar turned to 2020, she’s gone 3-2, with both of her losses coming by split decision and two of the wins by unanimous decision.

As you may have gathered by now, the common thread between these two is that they very often go the distance. In her entire 17-fight career, Torres has ended a fight just once by TKO — ironically, her most recent fight — and just once by submission.

The rest of her 10 wins have come by decision and she has never lost by KO, TKO, or submission. She has also never had a split decision in her entire career.

Torres vs. Hill Pick

At this point in Hill’s career, her form has trended more towards decisions as well, as six of her last eight bouts — and the last four straight — have come down to the judges. “Overkill” Hill has stayed competitive in every fight she’s had lately, as evidenced by her two splits, and she hasn’t been finished since March of 2019.

As such, it seems almost inevitable that this one will come down to a decision as well. Given the relatively tight moneyline, these two are very evenly matched and likely won’t give each other an inch to finish the fight early.

So the simplest play would be to take it to go the distance, right? Well, unfortunately, there’s not a whole lot of value there, as you’ll have to lay -400 to get in on the action.

Instead, let’s assume that whoever wins this fight will do so decisively, as has been the case so often for these two in the past. As mentioned before, Torres has never gotten a split in either direction before, and it doesn’t seem likely she’s going to start now.

On the other side, Hill has had some recent splits, but she’s a very live underdog given her activeness and marked improvement over the last few years. She could just as easily take home the win.

But at the end of the night, the winner will have gotten unanimous approval from the judges, and this is still a perfectly fine price to wager on that.

The Pick: Fight to Be Won by Unanimous Decision: Yes (-150)


Doug Greenberg is the Lead Writer for The Rundown, a free daily betting newsletter and FOS brand. Click here to subscribe.

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