NASCAR Props Challenge Picks for Sunday’s Drydene 400 at Dover

Oct 02, 2019 09:50 AM EDT

Matthew O’Haren-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Denny Hamlin

  • NASCAR's Props Challenge game asks fans to answer 10 prop-betting questions each week, with weekly winners eligible for prizes.
  • PJ Walsh offers his Props Challenge picks and analysis for the Drydene 400 (2:30 p.m. ET, NBCSN) at Dover.

The first three races of the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series (MENCS) playoffs are in the books, with Erik Jones, Kurt Busch, Ryan Newman and Aric Almirola failing to advance to the Round of 12.

The postseason continues Sunday at Dover, where Martin Truex Jr. earned a victory back in May.

To make this week’s NASCAR Props Challenge picks, I’ll rely on betting odds to project expected driver performance, as well as race trends from the season’s previous race at Dover, which is the only event at the track using the current MENCS aero package.

1. Will a Hendrick Motorsports driver finish in the top four: Yes or No?

While Alex Bowman, William Byron and Jimmie Johnson can work their ways into the top four, Chase Elliott is the Hendrick driver with the best chance.

But “expecting” one of these drivers to crack the top four over Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, Denny Hamlin, Kyle Larson, Martin Truex Jr., etc. is too rich for my blood.

Pick: No

2. O/U 7.5 playoff drivers finish in the top 10?

Eight current playoff drivers scored top 10s back in May. In addition, Erik Jones is the only non-playoff driver with better than 30-1 odds to win Sunday’s race, so I’m taking the over.

Pick: Over

3. Which playoff driver will finish higher: Denny Hamlin or Joey Logano?

At the Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas, Hamlin’s 12-1 odds are slightly better than Logano’s 14-1.