French Open WTA Semifinals Betting Preview: Two Teens in Action on Friday

Jun 07, 2019 10:00 PM EDT
Credit:

Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Amanda Anisimova

  • WTA French Open betting action resumes on Friday with both semifinals getting underway at 5 a.m. ET.
  • Brett Farrenkopf takes a look at both surprising matchups which each feature a teenager in unchartered territory.

The 2019 French Open semifinals features two matchups we all predicted: Jo Konta vs. Marketa Vondrousova and Ashleigh Barty vs. Amanda Anisimova. The complete opposite of the men’s side which has all four top seeds still standing.

Let’s take a closer look at each match from a betting perspective before diving into which bets I like for Friday on the women’s side.

Markéta Vondroušová (+114) vs. Johanna Konta (-134)

This French Open semifinal features an intriguing matchup between the surprise clay court performer of the year and the future of women’s clay court tennis. Two technically different players both playing at a very high level.

This has been a shocking run for Konta, who had never made it out of the first round in her prior six tries at Roland Garros. This will be her third Grand Slam semifinal, so she has experience on the big stage, albeit not on clay. Nerves are more likely to be an issue for her young opponent.

Vondrousova is a 19-year-old from the Czech Republic who has always thrived on the red dirt. She made the French Open Junior semifinals twice, owns a 23-10 career clay record at the Tour level and made a final in Istanbul earlier this year.

Despite Vondrousova’s pedigree, Konta defeated her in May on the red clay of Rome in a tight contest as a +114 underdog. Both players handled a set each before Konta ripped through the third by a scoreline of 6-1.

Although Vondrousova did have a break chance to go up *2-0 before  a poor forehand unforced error seemingly swung the momentum. (The teenager also won their only other meeting at Indian Wells in straight sets in 2018.)

 

In an even matchup in terms of skill and form, Vondrousova has the edge in variety thanks to a deadly drop shot that she can unleash at any time. And once her opponent starts to expect a drop shot, she can unleash a powerful groundstroke for an easy winner.

In her win over Simona Halep this year, Halep all but ignored the drop shot and lost as a result. Vondrousova won 18-of-21 points on drop shots — 13 of which were winners.

Vondrousova also can counter-attack Konta with her superior movement, which was on full display in her quarterfinal win over Petra Martic.

However, Konta possesses a far superior serve.In 2019, the Brit has a significantly better ace percentage, double fault percentage and first serve in percentage. Konta has captured ace rates of +10% in her last three matches while Vondrousova’s best rate this year was 5.9%. Konta can win many more free points if her serve is firing.

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