Our Favorite Prop Bets for the 2020 Sanderson Farms Championship
Jared C. Tilton/Getty Images. Pictured: Wesley Bryan
The PGA TOUR’s swing season is, pardon the pun, in full swing.
The fields during the fall portion of the 2020/21 season may not feature the same amount of starpower that we see at the marquee events, but ask any avid golf bettor about the autumn tournaments and they’ll tell you that there’s some serious value to be had at tournaments like the Sanderson Farms Championship.
With very few elite players teeing it up, this tournament should be wide open and we could be looking at a wild leaderboard come Sunday. With that in mind, here are our favorite prop bets at the 2020 Sanderson Farms Championship:
Will Zalatoris Top-Five Finish (+400)
Too much, too soon?
You can be excused for having Zalatoris fatigue over the past few weeks, but it’s not going to subside just yet. I’m not ready to anoint him the Next Big Thing, but I do think he’s already one of those guys who can ball-strike his way to some impressive results without having to own more than an average short game.
The truth is, this week’s venue sets up way better for him than last week, when he finished T-8, thanks to a final-round 65. When he was asked what was different on Sunday, he commented, “I had my back up against the wall.” I’ve never understood criticism for those who “back-door” into top-five nd top-10 finishes – I mean, aren’t you supposed to play your best golf when it means the most? – but I do think we should be very aware of this ability when it comes to prop bets.
In fact, if you wanted to hold off and take Zalatoris for a live top-five after R1 or R2, well, I don’t dislike that idea at all.
Brian Harman Top-20 Finish (+160)
I’m high on Harman this week, but I also don’t trust many of the other guys at the top of the board, especially at their current prices.
Harman has been in a good run of form over the past couple months, notching a couple of top-15 finishes in two FedEx Cup events, so against a weaker field his talent should propel him to a solid finish.
He was also 14th here a year ago, when the form wasn’t in nearly as good of shape as it is now, so I’ll take a shot here.
Wesley Bryan Top-10 Finish (+1200)
Wes Bryan has made a bit of a resurgence over the summer, flashing the great iron play that made him so successful in 2017. He has gained strokes on approach in each of his last five appearances, including gaining more than two strokes with his irons in four of those five.
Bryan seems to be finding his game off-the-tee as well as he has gained strokes in each of his last three tournaments in the category that has previously hindered him the most.
Bryan is an extreme longshot to come through on top, but he definitely has the talent and ability to find himself in the top-10 on Sunday.
Henrik Stenson Top-10 Finish (+550)
I was skeptical about Henrik last week. He hadn’t been playing very well going into the event and I wasn’t sure why he chose to play at the Corales. He ended up having a pretty good week finishing in 21st.
At the top of his game, Stenson is arguably the most talented player in this field. His issue at this point in his career is playing in enough events to get some forward momentum and get himself into good form. With the encouraging performance last week, I think he is in a good spot to build off of the solid showing and be even better this week.
Henrik is one of the best iron players on TOUR and should give himself plenty of birdie chances. We are getting a steep discount in price compared to what his skill set would indicate so I think this is a good spot to take a chance on the Swede.