Red Sox vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - July 28, 2025

Red Sox at Twins

11:40 pm • MNNT

Boston Red Sox

59-51

4 - 5

Minnesota Twins

51-57

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Woods Richardson			4.24	5-4
R.Fitts			4.83	1-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 59-51	+1.5	-1.5+150	o9-118	-106
Twins 51-57	u9.5	+1.5-182	u9-101	-111

Monday 11:40 p.m.

July 28, 2025

Target FieldMinneapolis

BOS -108

1.08u

BOS +105

Boston’s bats are on fire, smashing .260 in July and sitting top 10 in MLB batting average and runs scored. Red Sox have a deep, dangerous lineup that can put up crooked numbers in any inning. Boston owns the momentum edge with four wins in their last seven and a 7-3 record in their last 10 against Minnesota, including multiple blowouts. The Twins are sliding hard, dropping seven of their last ten and struggling to keep games close at home. The Red Sox bullpen is shutting teams down with a 2.16 ERA in the last three games and a stellar 3.13 mark for the season. Meanwhile, Minnesota’s pen is getting rocked, posting a 6.46 ERA over the same stretch and struggling to hold leads late.

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-128

1.28u

BOS +102

3 MLB NRFI & YRFI Picks for Monday
Billy Ward•
Jul 28, 2025 UTC

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MLB Public Betting

Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 25-29 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Twins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 24 of Twins' 54 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	53-55	28-26	25-29	33-37	19-18
Red Sox	60-50	30-25	30-25	37-31	23-17

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	44-59-5	24-28-2	20-31-3	30-37-3	13-22-2
Red Sox	51-56-3	22-31-2	29-25-1	32-34-2	19-20-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	51-57	30-24	21-33	37-33	14-23
Red Sox	59-51	34-21	25-30	41-27	18-22

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 27th	WSH	L 2-7	-1.5 L	U 9.5	WSH -174
Jul 26th	WSH	L 3-9	-1.5 L	O 9	WSH -249
Jul 26th	WSH	W 1-0	-1.5 L	U 8.5	MIN -167
Jul 23rd	@LAD	L 3-4	+1.5 W	U 9	LAD +184
Jul 23rd	@LAD	W 10-7	+1.5 W	O 8	MIN +164

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with knee
Out

Byron Buxton
CF
Buxton is out with ribs
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Fitts, P	58	4	2	2
LC.Murphy, P	22	1.1	2	1
RJ.Alcala, P	20	0.2	1	0
LB.Bernardino, P	18	0.2	1	0
RG.Weissert, P	11	1.1	0	0
RJ.Hicks, P	23	0.1	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Anthony, LF	2-3	1	0	1
1R.Gonzalez, 1B	0-0	0	0	0
2A.Bregman, 3B	2-5	1	1	3
3J.Duran, CF	1-4	0	0	0
3J.Duran, LF	1-4	0	0	0
4T.Story, SS	0-5	0	0	0
5M.Yoshida, DH	1-4	0	0	0
6C.Narvaez, C	0-4	0	0	0
7W.Abreu, RF	3-4	0	0	0
8C.Rafaela, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
8C.Rafaela, CF	0-4	0	0	0
9A.Toro, 1B	1-3	1	0	0
9D.Hamilton, PR	0-0	1	0	0
9D.Hamilton, 2B	0-0	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Woods Richardson, P	99	4.2	5	3
RJ.Topa, P	16	1.1	1	0
RG.Jax, P	13	1	2	0
RB.Stewart, P	16	1	1	0
RJ.Duran, P	27	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Larnach, DH	0-2	0	0	0
1M.Gasper, PH	0-0	1	0	0
1M.Gasper, DH	0-0	1	0	0
2W.Castro, LF	0-3	1	0	0
3C.Correa, SS	1-5	0	0	0
4K.Clemens, 2B	1-2	0	0	0
4B.Lee, PH	1-2	0	0	2
4B.Lee, 2B	1-2	0	0	2
5R.Lewis, 3B	2-4	1	0	0
6M.Wallner, RF	1-2	0	0	0
6H.Bader, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6H.Bader, CF	0-1	0	0	0
7T.France, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
8C.Vazquez, C	0-2	1	0	1
9D.Keirsey, CF	2-4	1	1	2
9D.Keirsey, RF	2-4	1	1	2