
Picks Office

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Picks Office
Last 30d: 205-181-14 (+10.87u)
Picks Office's Picks
Today
COL +1.5-105
ATL
8
-
5
COL
1u
Bot 7th
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Atlanta has lost 7 of its last 10, with just 14 runs across the last 5 listed road games.
Colorado is 5-5 over the same 10-game window and just posted 22 runs across its last 2 listed games.
Coors Field volatility is the point. At +1.5, the Rockies do not need to be better, just close.
4
1
CLE -125 (Live)
CLE
1
-
4
ATH
1u
Mid 6th
Pre Game Line
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Messick is the separator with a 1.73 ERA and 0.88 WHIP through 6 starts.
Civale has been solid, but his 1.30 WHIP creates more traffic than Cleveland needs to win this game.
The Guardians already scored 14 and 8 in the two most recent games of this series.
1
KC +110
KC
3
-
1
SEA
1u
Top 6th
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Seattle just dropped 7-6 and 3-2 games to Kansas City at home.
The April sweep explains the price, but this current series has flipped into one-run pressure.
Cal Raleigh and Rob Refsnyder both sit on the Day-To-Day report, which makes the Mariners lineup less clean than the name value suggests.
8
2
Over 8.5+100
CWS
1
-
3
SD
1u
Top 6th
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Chicago's last 5 games averaged 10.0 total runs, with 4 getting to 9 or more.
Anthony Kay brings a 6.12 ERA and 1.68 WHIP into an expected Padres lineup with its core bats listed.
Canning is lined up for his 2026 debut, so both starter paths leave room for early traffic.
6
2
CWS +145
CWS
1
-
3
SD
1u
Top 6th
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San Diego has scored 8 total runs over its last 5 games and was shut out 2 times in that stretch.
Chicago is 7-3 over its last 10, has won 4 straight, and just took 2 of 3 in San Diego.
Kay's 6.12 ERA is ugly, but that is already in the number. At +145, the Padres' cold bats make this live.
1
1
Under 211.5-115
TOR
CLE
1u
05/03 11:30 PM
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Toronto has a real creation problem with Quickley out and Ingram doubtful after an 11-minute Game 5 and missed Game 6.
This series already produced a 93-89 game, and the last 222-point final needed overtime to get there.
If Game 7 turns into late-clock possessions, Cleveland can win clean without dragging this into a track meet.
7
2
NYY -1.5-110
BAL
3
-
11
NYY
0.91u
FINAL 5/03
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Max Fried brings a 2.09 ERA and 0.80 WHIP into a matchup where New York already owns the cleaner mound profile.
The Yankees are 8-2 over the last 10, and 7 of those 8 wins cleared by at least 2 runs.
New York already took the first two at home 9-4 and 7-2. Same park, same margin profile, better starter.
4
2
Over 8.5-120
BAL
3
-
11
NYY
0.83u
FINAL 5/03
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Yankee Stadium has 18 mph wind out with a total sitting at 8.5.
Baltimore turns to Trey Gibson for his MLB debut after 25 strikeouts and 12 walks in 24 2/3 Triple-A innings.
New York has scored 55 runs across its last 10, and that is enough pressure to make the number feel reachable.
8
2
Over 8.5-110
MIL
2
-
3
WSH
1u
FINAL 5/03
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Zack Littell is the pressure point with a 7.85 ERA, 1.74 WHIP, and 13 HR allowed in 28.2 innings.
Milwaukee has scored 38 runs over its last 5 games, and those games averaged 9.8 total runs.
Patrick's 2.57 ERA is clean, but 13 walks in 28 innings gives Washington enough traffic to help this get to 9.
7
1
MIL -140
MIL
2
-
3
WSH
1u
FINAL 5/03
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Milwaukee has already taken the first two games in Washington 6-1 and 4-1, holding the Nationals to 1 run in both.
Zack Littell is 0-4 with a 7.85 ERA, a 1.7441 WHIP, and 13 HR allowed in 28.2 innings.
Washington still leads the season series 3-2, but this current series has been Milwaukee's game state from the first pitch.
7
1
BOS -1.5+125
HOU
3
-
1
BOS
1u
FINAL - 10 5/03
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The bet starts with the mound gap. Ranger Suarez has a 3.09 ERA and 0.94 WHIP over 35 innings.
Cody Bolton is at 5.79 and 1.71, with 8 walks in 9.1 innings. That is traffic before Boston earns anything.
Boston already cleared this number twice in the series, winning by 7 and 2 at Fenway.
6
2
TB -125
SF
1
-
2
TB
0.8u
FINAL - 10 5/03
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Tyler Mahle brings a 1-4 record, 5.87 ERA and 1.63 WHIP into a dome game where Tampa does not need chaos.
Steven Matz has the cleaner profile at 4-1 with a 1.12 WHIP, and that traffic gap matters on a moneyline.
San Francisco's 6-4 last 10 is real, but the larger board still sits 13-20 Giants against a 20-12 Rays team.
8
1
Over 9.5+100
LAD
4
-
1
STL
1u
FINAL 5/03
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Busch Stadium gets 69 degrees with a 14 mph wind out, which is exactly the kind of setup that can turn hard contact into runs.
Dustin May brings a 5.28 ERA into a Dodgers order with Ohtani, Freeman, Smith and Tucker stacked near the top.
St. Louis is 20-13 and 8-2 over its last 10, so this over does not need the Dodgers to do all the lifting.
6
2
Over 11.5-115
ARI
4
-
8
CHC
0.87u
FINAL 5/03
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Wrigley has 20.8 mph wind and the total is already sitting at 11.5.
Kelly enters with a 9.20 ERA and 2.25 WHIP, while Boyd is at 7.00.
Arizona just scored 18 runs in a doubleheader, so this is built for traffic early.
4
3
CHC -1-115
ARI
4
-
8
CHC
0.87u
FINAL 5/03
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Kelly enters with a 9.20 ERA, 2.25 WHIP, 12 walks, and 5 homers allowed in 14.2 innings.
Boyd's ERA is not pretty, but 26 strikeouts to 5 walks gives Chicago the cleaner starter profile.
Every Cubs win in their last 10 cleared by 2+ runs, and every Arizona loss in that same window came by 2+.
6
2
Pending
Futures
| Past Performance | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 7-9-1 | 41% | -2.84u |
| Last 7 Days | 57-49-5 | 51% | 4.02u |
| Last 30 Days | 205-181-14 | 51% | 10.87u |
| All Time | 2444-2244-69 | 51% | 47.87u |
| Top Leagues | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| NBA | 766-653-10 | 54% | 40.21u |
| NHL | 327-313-10 | 50% | 13.50u |
| NFL | 166-145-4 | 53% | 4.76u |
| NCAAB | 339-299-12 | 52% | 3.37u |
| MLB | 675-659-32 | 49% | 2.71u |
| WNBA | 1-2-0 | 33% | -1.05u |
| NCAAF | 170-173-1 | 49% | -15.64u |
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