Join Discord for earlier access: https://discord.gg/HjKxYKdSUy New York arrives off 3 straight losses with 6 total runs in that skid. Baltimore has 6 wins in its last 10 and just put 7 on the Dodgers. Young only needs it stable at home against a lineup priced like -162 but not hitting like it.

Join Discord for earlier access: https://discord.gg/HjKxYKdSUy Tampa Bay is 8-2 over the last 10 with a 1.42 ERA, and that profile travels better than the market is pricing. Rasmussen has the cleaner starter line at 2.95 ERA and 0.90 WHIP, while Toronto is still 18-22 overall. If this turns into a tight AL East game, the Jays' 2-6 record in one-run spots is not where I want to lay trust.

Join Discord for earlier access: https://discord.gg/HjKxYKdSUy Rasmussen and Gausman both enter below 3.10 ERA with WHIPs under 1.00, which is the first thing I want on an Under 7. Toronto has stayed at 7 or lower in 8 of its last 10, and Tampa Bay has done it in 5 of its last 10. Dome game, no wind excuse, two starters with command. One crooked inning can beat it, but the setup points low.

Join Discord for earlier access: https://discord.gg/HjKxYKdSUy Colorado is 6-1 in this playoff run with a +17 goal margin, so I am not letting one Wild response flip the series read. The Avs already beat Minnesota 9-6 and 5-2 before Game 3, and the season matchup still sits 4-3 Colorado. Minnesota is still without Joel Eriksson Ek and Jonas Brodin, while Colorado owns the cleaner shot profile at 33.7 for and 26.1 allowed.

Join Discord for earlier access: https://discord.gg/HjKxYKdSUy This total leans into the arms. Soroka is at a 4.14 ERA with a 1.4324 WHIP, and Eovaldi is at 4.15. Eovaldi has already allowed 10 home runs in 47.2 innings, so Arizona does not need a long rally to move this number. Globe Life takes weather out of it, and Texas has 2 relief arms on the IL if this gets into the bullpen early.

Join Discord for earlier access: https://discord.gg/HjKxYKdSUy This is a dome total at 8.5, so weather is not helping the under. Lambert has a 2.42 ERA, but 11 walks in 22.1 innings gives Seattle a traffic path. Kirby is cleaner at 2.94, but 39 strikeouts in 52 innings leaves Houston enough contact to push this toward 9.

Join Discord for earlier access: https://discord.gg/HjKxYKdSUy San Francisco's last 10 games averaged 7.1 total runs, with 7 below 9 and 2 landing exactly on 9. McDonald gives the under a starter with command after 7 innings, 8 strikeouts, 0 walks and a 0.29 WHIP in his first 2026 start. The first 3 meetings landed 9, 5 and 5, so this number is asking for more offense than the matchup has shown.

Join Discord for earlier access: https://discord.gg/HjKxYKdSUy OKC and LAL combine for 235.3 PPG by season averages, and 214 sits well below that baseline. The first playoff meeting closed at 198, but the next two landed 232 and 239 once OKC pushed the game open. The Lakers scored 107 and 108 in those last two losses, so they do not need a ceiling game if OKC stays near 125-plus.

Join Discord for earlier access: https://discord.gg/HjKxYKdSUy Oklahoma City is 7-0 against the Lakers this season with a +25.1 average margin. The last three meetings landed at 18, 18, and 23 points, all while Jalen Williams remained out. Los Angeles still has no Luka Doncic, and OKC's 9.7 steals per game pressure a team turning it over 14.5 times per game.