
Picks Office

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Last 30d: 155-155-12 (-9.19u)
Picks Office's Picks
Today
BAL +115
TB
0
-
0
BAL
1u
Top 4th
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Baltimore is the better recent-form side at 6-4 over its last 10 while Tampa Bay is 4-6.
Bradish has volatility, but 58 strikeouts in 52.1 innings gives the home dog a real path.
McClanahan is the cleaner starter, but +115 is enough with Baltimore's top order live.
6
1
Under 4 (F5)+100
STL
-
1
MIL
1u
Bot 1st
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Misiorowski anchors the first-five under with a 1.89 ERA, 0.88 WHIP, and 88 K in 57 innings.
Liberatore is the risk at 4.70 ERA and 1.55 WHIP, but F5 Under 4 gives push protection if the early score lands on 4.
Dome roof in, full-game total 7.5, and the cleanest under path is Milwaukee's starter controlling St. Louis early.
2
2
Over 8.5-105
MIN
1
-
1
CWS
1u
End 1st
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Minnesota is 7-3 over its last 10, and Anthony Kay brings a 4.27 ERA with a 1.446 WHIP.
Chicago has allowed at least 4 runs in 8 of its last 10, so one messy inning can push this toward 9.
Matthews is the counter with a 1.38 ERA, but Kay's traffic profile is enough for me to take Over 8.5.
2
1
KC +130
NYY
KC
1u
05/25 7:40 PM
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Kansas City is 6-4 over its last 10 and has won 3 straight, while New York is 4-6 in that same window.
Wacha gives the home dog a real starter case with a 2.70 ERA and 1.03 WHIP over 63.1 innings.
Warren's command is the counter, but +130 is enough for me to take the Royals at home.
3
1
PHI -135 (F5)
PHI
SD
1u
05/25 10:40 PM
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1
1
Under 8.5-120
HOU
TEX
1u
05/25 11:05 PM
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Houston has scored 24 total runs over its last 10 games, and Texas has been held to 2 or fewer in 6 of its last 10.
The starter profiles are the risk, not the reason. Alexander and Leiter can both create traffic, but the lineups have not been converting enough to make 9 runs automatic.
I took Under 8.5 because both offenses need a real rebound at the same time, and the current form does not make me pay for that ceiling.
1
1
Pending
NYK -125
NYK
CLE
1u
05/26 12:00 AM
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New York has beaten Cleveland three straight times by 13, 16 and 11.
The full season matchup is 5-1 Knicks, and New York is 10-0 over its last ten.
Cleveland still has Donovan Mitchell, but I want the team that keeps solving this opponent.
9
2
SEA -115 (F5)
SEA
ATH
1u
05/26 1:40 AM
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Hancock has the cleaner first-five profile: 3.07 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 60 strikeouts and 13 walks across 58.2 innings.
Severino has a 4.23 ERA and 1.44 WHIP, with 31 walks over 61.2 innings. That traffic is the Seattle entry point.
Oakland has the better full-game offense, so I do not want the whole game. I took Seattle in the starter window.
3
1
SAS +6-115
SAS
OKC
1u
05/27 12:30 AM
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San Antonio is 6-3 against OKC in the returned matchup sample, with three road wins.
The current series is 2-2, and the Spurs just held OKC to 82.
Jalen Williams is questionable, so I am taking the 6 instead of paying the Thunder tax.
1
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