
Picks Office

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Picks Office
Last 30d: 198-181-12 (+4.48u)
Picks Office's Picks
Today
STL +125
STL
1
-
0
PIT
1u
Top 3rd
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This is a live-dog series spot, not a clean pitching-trust bet.
St. Louis has already won 4-2 and 11-7 in Pittsburgh, and Chandler enters with a 4.88 ERA.
Pallante's 4.26 ERA is the risk, but plus money fits the current matchup.
9
2
MTL +135 (Live)
MTL
1
-
0
TB
1u
1st 13:55
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DET -9.5-115
ORL
13
-
18
DET
1u
1st 6:05
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This is a projection-number play, not a series-narrative bet.
Detroit went 31-9 at home and averaged 117.8 points, with market projections sitting around an 111-100.5 final.
The risk is a slow Magic pace, so this needs Detroit's defense to create separation
12
5
Under 7.5-120
WSH
2
-
0
NYM
1u
Bot 1st
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3
3
WSH +140 (Live)
WSH
2
-
0
NYM
1u
Bot 1st
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1
CLE -10-105
TOR
CLE
1u
04/29 11:30 PM
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This is a home-court correction spot, not a regular-season matchup bet.
Cleveland already showed this spread range at Rocket Arena, winning Games 1 and 2 by 13 and 10.
Toronto is still without Immanuel Quickley, but the risk is its switch-heavy defense keeping this ugly again.
1
1
PHI -115
PIT
PHI
1u
04/29 11:30 PM
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This is a home closeout price, not a margin bet.
Philadelphia is up 3-2, and Silovs is listed at 2-0 with a 2.00 GAA and .920 save percentage.
Pittsburgh has momentum after two straight wins, but -115 is lighter than the broader -122 market.
13
2
TB +105
TB
1
-
3
CLE
1u
FINAL 4/29
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This is a starter and form price, not a road-underdog reach.
Rasmussen brings a 2.45 ERA and 0.74 WHIP, while Tampa has taken the first two in Cleveland by 3-2 and 1-0.
Getting plus money with the better run-prevention profile is enough.
16
3
Over 8.5-115
LAA
2
-
3
CWS
1u
FINAL - 10 4/29
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This is a traffic over, not a clean power bet.
Both offenses sit at .337 OBP or better, and the two clubs have combined for 35 overs in 61 games.
The risk is Fedde length, so this needs Kikuchi traffic and late bullpen leakage.
8
4
SEA -130
SEA
5
-
3
MIN
0.77u
FINAL 4/29
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This is a form-and-staff play, not a pure starter mismatch.
Kirby and Bradley are basically even by ERA, but Seattle is 7-3 over its last 10 while Minnesota is 2-8.
Seattle also owns the better team ERA, 3.69 to 4.40.
15
3
Over 8-110
SEA
5
-
3
MIN
1u
FINAL 4/29
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This is a series-total play, not a weather boost.
The first two games produced 15 and 8 runs, and both lineups carry a .706 OPS into a neutral Target Field setup.
Kirby and Bradley both sit under 3.00 ERA, so this needs traffic past the sixth.
6
1
Over 8.5-110
BOS
1
-
8
TOR
0.91u
FINAL 4/29
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This is a starter-volatility over, not a Rogers Centre park bet.
Bello has a 9.00 ERA with 8 homers allowed in 22 innings, and Lauer counters at 6.75 ERA.
The first two games were low scoring, so this needs the starter damage to show up early.
7
2
Over 8-110
MIA
3
-
2
LAD
1u
FINAL 4/29
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This is lineup pressure, not a starter fade.
Los Angeles is averaging 5.50 runs per game, and Miami is at 4.40 with an 18-10 over profile.
Alcantara and Glasnow can both pitch, so this needs baserunners into the middle innings more than cheap early damage.
6
2
MIA +1.5-110
MIA
3
-
2
LAD
0.91u
FINAL 4/29
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This is a run-line price against a heavy favorite, not an outright call.
Alcantara's 3.05 ERA gives Miami a real chance to keep this within one, and the first two games in LA landed 5-4 and 2-1.
The Dodgers still have the lineup edge, so the value is in the cushion.
9
2
SD -105
CHC
5
-
4
SD
1u
FINAL 4/29
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8
2
Pending
ATH -115
KC
ATH
1u
04/30 1:40 AM
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This is a team-price play, not a Severino season-ERA endorsement.
Oakland is 15-14 against Kansas City's 12-17, and Severino's last start was 6.2 innings of one-run ball.
Wacha's 2.51 ERA is the pushback, so the A's need early contact and a clean bullpen handoff.
8
2
Over 10-105
KC
ATH
1u
04/30 1:40 AM
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This is a Severino volatility total, not a Wacha fade.
Severino's season line is 5.17 ERA and 1.56 WHIP, while both offenses sit at 4.14 or better runs per game.
The 10 matters, so Oakland still has to do damage against Wacha or force the middle relief early.
```
8
3
LAL -4-110
HOU
LAL
1u
04/30 2:00 AM
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This is a home closeout spread, not a clean health bet.
Los Angeles is up 3-1 and 28-13 at home, while Houston is dealing with Durant being ruled out for Game 5.
Current screens showing shorter numbers make -4 less clean, so the injury edge has to matter immediately.
12
6
Over 207.5-110
HOU
LAL
1u
04/30 2:00 AM
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This is a number play, not a pace projection.
The market is showing 208.5 in places, so 207.5 keeps a useful pocket below the current total.
Game 5 late fouls can matter more than baseline tempo if Houston is chasing.
9
2
Futures
| Past Performance | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 8-4-2 | 57% | 3.50u |
| Last 7 Days | 55-51-6 | 49% | -0.35u |
| Last 30 Days | 198-181-12 | 51% | 4.48u |
| All Time | 2416-2217-67 | 51% | 49.16u |
| Top Leagues | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| NBA | 763-647-10 | 54% | 43.44u |
| NHL | 323-313-10 | 50% | 9.65u |
| NFL | 166-145-4 | 53% | 4.76u |
| MLB | 654-638-30 | 49% | 4.62u |
| NCAAB | 339-299-12 | 52% | 3.37u |
| WNBA | 1-2-0 | 33% | -1.05u |
| NCAAF | 170-173-1 | 49% | -15.64u |
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