Cubs vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - May 3, 2025

Cubs at Brewers

12:10 am • Apple TV+
10 - 0
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Tyler Alexander logoT.AlexanderMilwaukee Brewers logo4.561-2
Ben Brown logoB.BrownChicago Cubs logo6.042-2

Cubs at Brewers Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs
19-13
-1.5
-1.5+130
o9-103
-125
Brewers
16-16
u8.5
+1.5-157
u9-120
+105
location pinSaturday 12:10 a.m.
May 03, 2025
American Family FieldMilwaukee
Cubs vs. Brewers Expert Picks
The Degenerate
The Degenerate
Last 30d: 122-161-5 (+2.7u)
MIL +105
0.75u
Steak Friend
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 228-262-4 (-25.8u)
MIL +104
1u
💰🦡 Jake
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 127-126-4 (+4.3u)
Over 8.5-120
1u
Picks Office
Picks Office
Last 30d: 92-94-4 (-7.0u)
Over 8.5-120
1.67u
Brewers avg 5.98 runs/game at home – 8th in MLB in runs per game overall. Cubs starter Ben Brown rocking a 6.04 ERA, 1.89 WHIP. Opponents hitting .364 off his fastball, .264 off his curve. Brown allows 44.9% hard-hit rate – Brewers offense built to punish that. Milwaukee bats on fire – Turang hitting .311, Hoskins .804 OPS, team with 23 HRs + 40 SBs. Cubs bullpen decent (3.30 ERA) but not lockdown. Brewers better vs righties – Brown’s a righty. Home splits matter: Brew Crew more dangerous at American Family Field. Brewers don’t chase much, high plate discipline means pitch count climbs. Brewers bullpen at 3.89 ERA not elite – Cubs road OPS .799 gives them some upside late.
MIL +110
1u
Ben Brown’s ERA? 6.04. WHIP? 1.89. Fastball gets crushed – opponents batting .364 against it. Curveball not fooling anyone either – .264 average. xERA and xwOBA in the basement. High hard-hit rate (44.9%) = fireworks coming. This Brewers lineup is built to punish mistakes. Milwaukee averaging 4.97 runs/game – 8th in MLB. Home offense even better: 5.98 runs/game at AmFam Field. Brice Turang hitting .311, Rhys Hoskins .804 OPS. Power-speed combo with 23 HR + 40 SB. Brown’s a righty – Brewers mash RHP. William Contreras + Chourio heating up. Cubs’ road OPS higher than Brewers’ home OPS, but pitching ruins the edge – team ERA 4.01, Brown the main liability.
Charlie Wright
Charlie Wright
Last 30d: 5-7-0 (-2.2u)
Q.Priester u3.5 Ks+120
0.92u
Priester has a sub-50% zone rate and a 23.8% chase rate. That's a rough combination. It's no surprise he has nearly as many walks (12) as strikeouts (13). Priester has a weak 8.6% SwStr% and just a 23.9% CSW%. He's had more walks than strikeouts in each of his past 2 starts. The Cubs have the 10th-lowest O-Swing% and the 5th-highest Z-Swing% as a team. They lead the league in contact rate. The top of their lineup is packed with good decision makers, led by Kyle Tucker (92nd percentile in chase rate). Ian Happ, Seiya Suzuki, and Michael Busch are all 70th percentile or better in chase rate.
R B
R B
Last 30d: 58-58-2 (+9.1u)
MIL +100
2u
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 104-97-5 (+6.7u)
MIL +106
1u
Coors light

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Cubs vs. Brewers Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Cubs

Public

64%

Bets%

36%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Brewers
19-138-511-811-67-7
Cubs
17-158-89-79-78-8

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Brewers
13-16-35-7-18-9-27-9-16-6-2
Cubs
19-11-211-58-6-29-6-110-5-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Brewers
16-169-47-1212-53-11
Cubs
19-139-710-611-58-8

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
May 1st@CWSL 0-8-1.5 LU 9CWS -162
Apr 30th@CWSW 6-4-1.5 WO 7.5MIL -158
Apr 29th@CWSW 7-2-1.5 WO 8MIL -260
Apr 27th@STLW 7-1-1.5 WU 8MIL -108
Apr 26th@STLL 5-6+1.5 WO 7STL +125

Brewers vs. Cubs Injury Updates

Brewers Injuries

  • Brandon Woodruff
    SP

    Woodruff is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Blake Perkins
    CF

    Perkins is out with leg

    Out

  • Garrett Mitchell
    CF

    Mitchell is out with oblique

    Out

  • Aaron Ashby
    SP

    Ashby is out with oblique

    Out

  • Robert Gasser
    SP

    Gasser is out with elbow

    Out

Cubs Injuries

  • Drew Pomeranz
    RP

    Pomeranz is out with elbow

    Out

  • Justin Steele
    SP

    Steele is out for season with elbow

    Out for Season

Cubs vs. Brewers Box Score
Cubs Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Ben Brown logoRB.Brown, P74640
Chris Flexen logoRC.Flexen, P54340
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Ian Happ logo1I.Happ, LF1-2100
Justin Turner logo1J.Turner, PH0-1000
Justin Turner logo1J.Turner, 3B0-1000
Kyle Tucker logo2K.Tucker, RF2-4201
Seiya Suzuki logo3S.Suzuki, DH1-5101
Carson Kelly logo4C.Kelly, C2-5101
Michael Busch logo5M.Busch, 1B1-5114
Nico Hoerner logo6N.Hoerner, 2B2-5001
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo7P.Crow-Armstrong, CF2-5222
Dansby Swanson logo8D.Swanson, SS1-4100
Vidal Brujan logo8V.Brujan, LF0-0000
Nicky Lopez logo9N.Lopez, 3B0-3100
Nicky Lopez logo9N.Lopez, SS0-3100
Brewers Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Tyler Alexander logoLT.Alexander, P190.212
Quinn Priester logoRQ.Priester, P1014.147
Tobias Myers logoRT.Myers, P11110
Joel Payamps logoRJ.Payamps, P15111
Grant Anderson logoRG.Anderson, P8110
Jake Bauers logoLJ.Bauers, P10100
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Brice Turang logo1B.Turang, 2B1-2000
Vinny Capra logo1V.Capra, 3B0-2000
Jackson Chourio logo2J.Chourio, CF0-4000
Christian Yelich logo3C.Yelich, DH0-4000
William Contreras logo4W.Contreras, C1-3000
Eric Haase logo4E.Haase, C0-1000
Sal Frelick logo5S.Frelick, RF1-2000
Daz Cameron logo5D.Cameron, PR0-1000
Daz Cameron logo5D.Cameron, RF0-1000
Rhys Hoskins logo6R.Hoskins, 1B0-4000
Isaac Collins logo7I.Collins, LF1-2000
Joey Ortiz logo8J.Ortiz, SS0-3000
Caleb Durbin logo9C.Durbin, 3B1-3000
Caleb Durbin logo9C.Durbin, 2B1-3000

Cubs vs. Brewers Odds Comparison

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Cubs at Brewers Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Cubs
19-13
N/A
N/A
Brewers
16-16
N/A
N/A