Dodgers vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - April 25, 2024

Dodgers at Nationals

8:05 pm • MLB Network

Los Angeles Dodgers

48-31

2 - 1

Washington Nationals

32-46

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Gore			3.90	10-12
Y.Yamamoto			3.00	7-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Dodgers 48-31	-1.5-105	o7.5-116	-177
Nationals 32-46	+1.5-115	u7.5-103	+147

Thursday 8:05 p.m.

April 25, 2024

Nationals ParkWashington

WSH +172

0.5u

@AnthonyDabbundo

WSH +148 (F5)

0.5u

@AnthonyDabbundo

WSH +146 (F5)

Y.Yamamoto u17.5 Outs-120

1.2u

Yamamoto hasn’t been sharp - 4.50 ERA, 54% hard hit rate, 15.8% barrel rate (the latter two in the bottom 5th percentile). 4.09 pitches per PA. Nationals are above avg offensively vs righties - 106 wRC+, .736 OPS (both top 9). 10th in pitches per PA. Dodgers bullpen in good shape.

WSH +1.5+100

Y.Yamamoto u6.5 Ks-122

0.5u

Ballpark pal projects 5.9 Ks and +ev bet with devig odds of -150 showing value to this number

Featured Insight
The Dodgers have scored in at least three different innings in 57% of their games since the 2022 season -- second highest in MLB. Nationals have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 56% of their games since the 2022 season -- second highest in MLB.

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The Dodgers are 50-18 (.735) after a loss since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .490.

James Outman has struck out in 32% of PA's since last season -- fourth highest in MLB-- third Percentile. Trevor Richards has a strikeout rate of 32% since last season -- tied for 15th highest among qualified RPs-- 92nd Percentile.

Mookie Betts is batting .277 on breaking pitches since the 2022 season -- tied for 14th best among hitters with at least 520 total PA's-- 90th Percentile. Jordan Romano has thrown his slider 53% of the time since the 2022 season -- 12th highest among qualified RPs-- 92nd Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 42% (21/50) against Yoshinobu Yamamoto on pitches in the strike zone this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 24% -- 0 Percentile.

MacKenzie Gore has a first-pitch strike rate of just 51% (44/86) this season -- 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 62% -- third Percentile.

4 of Yoshinobu Yamamoto's breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season -- tied for 3rd most in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: nan -- 97th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nationals are 21-17 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Nationals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 18 of Nationals' 40 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	38-40	17-23	21-17	2-12	36-28
Dodgers	36-43	20-24	16-19	29-37	7-6

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nationals	36-40-2	18-22	18-18-2	5-9	31-31-2
Dodgers	45-31-3	27-14-3	18-17	38-25-3	7-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	32-46	16-24	16-22	4-10	28-36
Dodgers	48-31	30-14	18-17	42-24	6-7

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 24th	LAD	L 2-11	+1.5 L	O 9.5	LAD +147
Apr 23rd	LAD	L 1-4	+1.5 L	U 10	LAD +189
Apr 21st	HOU	W 6-0	+1.5 W	U 9	WSH +145
Apr 20th	HOU	W 5-4	+1.5 W	U 9.5	WSH +150
Apr 19th	HOU	L 3-5	+1.5 L	U 8	HOU +127

Michael Kopech
RP
Kopech is out with arm
Out
Michael Grove
RP
Grove is out with shoulder
Out
River Ryan
SP
Ryan is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Gavin Stone
SP
Stone is out for season with shoulder
Out for Season
Emmet Sheehan
SP
Sheehan is out with arm
Out
Roki Sasaki
SP
Sasaki is out with shoulder
Out

Paul DeJong
3B
DeJong is out with nose
Out
Josiah Gray
SP
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
Cade Cavalli
SP
Cavalli is out with elbow
Out
DJ Herz
SP
Herz is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RY.Yamamoto, P	97	6	7	0
LA.Vesia, P	15	1	3	0
RD.Hudson, P	18	1	1	1
RE.Phillips, P	14	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Betts, 2B	2-3	1	0	0
2S.Ohtani, DH	0-4	0	0	0
3F.Freeman, 1B	2-3	0	0	1
4T.Hernandez, RF	1-4	1	1	1
5E.Hernandez, 3B	2-4	0	0	0
6A.Pages, CF	1-4	0	0	0
7C.Taylor, LF	0-4	0	0	0
8M.Rojas, SS	1-4	0	0	0
9A.Barnes, C	0-2	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Gore, P	102	6	4	1
RJ.Barnes, P	23	1	1	0
RJ.Weems, P	23	1	1	1
RK.Finnegan, P	10	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	1-4	1	0
2J.Winker, DH	0-4	0	0
3J.Meneses, 1B	3-4	0	1
4L.Garcia, 2B	1-4	0	0
5K.Ruiz, C	0-4	0	0
6J.Gallo, RF	0-3	0	0
7E.Rosario, LF	0-2	0	0
7T.Lipscomb, PH	0-2	0	0
7T.Lipscomb, 3B	0-2	0	0
8I.Vargas, 3B	1-4	0	0
8I.Vargas, LF	1-4	0	0
9J.Young, CF	1-3	0	0