Nuggets vs. Thunder Odds & Betting Predictions - May 14, 2025
Nuggets at Thunder
1:30 am • TNTNuggets at Thunder Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nuggets 2-2 | +10.5 | +10.5-114 | o220.5-113 | +380 |
 Thunder 2-2 | u217.5 | -10.5-107 | u220.5-110 | -490 |
Paycom CenterOklahoma City
Nuggets vs. Thunder Expert Picks
Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 77-157-0 (+38.6u)
L.Dort To Make 2+ Threes Yes-200
0.5u
The stat going around before last game was that Dort hadn’t hit a road 3 since March 25. Well he also hasn’t had a home game with less than 2 3s since Feb 24!! Crazy home road splits. He’s had at least 2 3s in 33/42 home games this year, a 79% hit rate that would make this base line more -400 than -200. 100% hit rate in playoffs is far too. 3+ makes in 60% of his home games, 4+ in 36% including half of his playoff games and half of his last 10. Don’t go too crazy in case he’s cold and loses minutes again, but he’ll get open looks and chances, so top escalator is series leader since he leads in volume and AG can’t hit over 50% forever.
L.Dort To Make 3+ Threes Yes+168
0.5u
The stat going around before last game was that Dort hadn’t hit a road 3 since March 25. Well he also hasn’t had a home game with less than 2 3s since Feb 24!! Crazy home road splits. He’s had at least 2 3s in 33/42 home games this year, a 79% hit rate that would make this base line more -400 than -200. 100% hit rate in playoffs is far too. 3+ makes in 60% of his home games, 4+ in 36% including half of his playoff games and half of his last 10. Don’t go too crazy in case he’s cold and loses minutes again, but he’ll get open looks and chances, so top escalator is series leader since he leads in volume and AG can’t hit over 50% forever.
L.Dort To Make 4+ Threes Yes+450
0.25u
The stat going around before last game was that Dort hadn’t hit a road 3 since March 25. Well he also hasn’t had a home game with less than 2 3s since Feb 24!! Crazy home road splits. He’s had at least 2 3s in 33/42 home games this year, a 79% hit rate that would make this base line more -400 than -200. 100% hit rate in playoffs is far too. 3+ makes in 60% of his home games, 4+ in 36% including half of his playoff games and half of his last 10. Don’t go too crazy in case he’s cold and loses minutes again, but he’ll get open looks and chances, so top escalator is series leader since he leads in volume and AG can’t hit over 50% forever.
S.Gilgeous-Alexander o6.5 Ast-145
1u
You already know we’re gonna keep running back SGA assists. He’s lapping the field in potentials this round with over 20 a game, and even if OKC teammates keep converting at only 36% somehow (he was at 53% in season) this is STILL a bad number with over 7 expected assists. Blowout is the bigger concern but he’d be part of OKC getting there too. We’re just gonna keep playing and trust the numbers.
S.Gilgeous-Alexander To Record 8+ Assists Yes+126
0.5u
You already know we’re gonna keep running back SGA assists. He’s lapping the field in potentials this round with over 20 a game, and even if OKC teammates keep converting at only 36% somehow (he was at 53% in season) this is STILL a bad number with over 7 expected assists. Blowout is the bigger concern but he’d be part of OKC getting there too. We’re just gonna keep playing and trust the numbers.
A.Gordon o10.5 Rebs+Ast+105
1u
Gordon has been awesome this series, especially on the glass and lately assists too. They’re kinda using him in the Draymond role and he’s smashing Oreb too with 5-7-7 games and already 14 and 16 reb games. Averaging double digits on 15 reb chances this round, and he’s also averaging double digit potential assists the last two games with 5 and 6 converted. I like RA better than Reb but both are good. Double double odds worth a play too, though points are not a given for AG.
A.Gordon o6.5 Rebs-110
0.25u
Gordon has been awesome this series, especially on the glass and lately assists too. They’re kinda using him in the Draymond role and he’s smashing Oreb too with 5-7-7 games and already 14 and 16 reb games. Averaging double digits on 15 reb chances this round, and he’s also averaging double digit potential assists the last two games with 5 and 6 converted. I like RA better than Reb but both are good. Double double odds worth a play too, though points are not a given for AG.
A.Gordon Double-Double (Yes)+450
0.25u
Gordon has been awesome this series, especially on the glass and lately assists too. They’re kinda using him in the Draymond role and he’s smashing Oreb too with 5-7-7 games and already 14 and 16 reb games. Averaging double digits on 15 reb chances this round, and he’s also averaging double digit potential assists the last two games with 5 and 6 converted. I like RA better than Reb but both are good. Double double odds worth a play too, though points are not a given for AG. If your book is close to 10+ reb odds, just play that instead.
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 50-31-1 (+12.4u)
C.Wallace o5.5 Pts+100
0.5u
#Tailing @HPBasketball
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 95-129-0 (-12.7u)
OKC -10-108
1.1u
A.Gordon o9.5 Rebs+Ast-135
0.68u
S.Gilgeous-Alexander o7.5 Ast+144
0.55u
C.Wallace o5.5 Pts+100
0.55u
M.Porter u11.5 Pts-110
0.55u
Jim Turvey
Last 30d: 74-97-1 (+22.1u)
C.Wallace o5.5 Pts+100
0.75u
LOVE this look @HPBasketball
S.Gilgeous-Alexander o6.5 Ast-155
0.6u
It’s finally time to join @wheatonbrando
The Propfessor
Last 30d: 30-36-0 (-9.8u)
S.Gilgeous-Alexander o12.5 Rebs+Ast-125
1.25u
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 50-31-1 (+12.4u)
J.Murray o19.5 Pts-125
0.63u
#BUCKETS
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 412-682-19 (-8.1u)
OKC -10.5-110
1.1u
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Nuggets vs. Thunder Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Thunder are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
- Thunder are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Thunder are 25-13 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Thunder' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Thunder' 43 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Nuggets vs. Thunder Injury Updates
Nuggets Injuries
- DaRon HolmesSF
Holmes is out with achilles
Out
Thunder Injuries
- Isaiah JoePG
Joe is questionable with knee
Questionable
- Nikola TopicPG
Topić is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Player Stats
- scoring
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander32.7ppg - rebounding
Isaiah Hartenstein10.7rpg - assistsShai Gilgeous-Alexander6.4apg
- shooting
-100fg%
Team Stats
Nuggets vs. Thunder Odds Comparison
Could not load odds
Nuggets at Thunder Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Nuggets 2-2 | N/A | N/A |
Thunder 2-2 | N/A | N/A |