Joe Dellera

Joe Dellera's Picks

Today
h/t @kylemurray03
22
8
The Magic face the Jazz in a top matchup for assists. Paolo just recorded 10 dimes on 17 potentials in a game without Franz and Suggs and generally sees an uptick in dimes without them on the floor. The Jazz have gotten crushed on dimes against players that are great at drive and kicks between LeBron, Jimmy Butler, and Julius Randle as well.
37
8
Tonight’s a battle for LA and I am targeting Bogdanovic in this matchup. The Lakers continue to bleed from the 3 point line and Bogi is an excellent spot up shooter but also has the ability to beat his man off the dribble. I'd expect Marcus Smart to be occupied with Harden and/or Kawhi and we could see Luka getting put on Bogi which is an ideal scenario for LAC. He's over in 4/6 without DJJ and without Beal this season. There are more juiced 7.5s out there but I prefer the 8.5 at even money.
30
8
Pending
Brandon Miller 20+ PPG + Hornets 40+ Wins+3000
0.35u
DK Under Team Specials Miller averaged over 20 ppg last season in part due to various injuries but this is clearly not out of reach for him, especially if they're going to get to 40 games I think this is a relatively risk free and correlated bump for the price on 40+ wins. The best in market number for 40+ that l've seen as a straight is +1600 (MGM) so we are getting essentially double the price on a correlated outcome.
41
22
Ja Morant 25+ ppg-120
0.5u
The Huddle got it first
18
11
Ja Morant 28+ ppg+600
1u
Since Taylor Jenkins was fired the team reset around Ja Morant and he averaged 28.4 ppg in the team's last 7 regular season games. Now they moved on from Desmond Bane and they're dealing with some injuries (to the oft injured) JJJ. Morant's Usage for a full season could be insane. This swung in large part because Jenkins torched the Pick and Roll opportunities for Morant and after the firing the team leaned HEAVILY on that. If you want to use the 28+ as an upper rung of the ladder that's fine and play 25+ ppg (-120 DK/MGM) as more of a base I won't begrudge you. I have some other plans for lower rungs for Morant so I'm splitting it unconventionally with 25+ at half a unit and 28+ as a full unit.
16
11
Joel Embiid 25+ ppg and Sixers Atlantic Division+550
1u
18
13
Victor Wembanyama 25+ ppg and Spurs 50+ Wins+400
1u
24
17
Cam Johnson 3+ 3s per Game+310
1u
Buckets
11
11
Jalen Brown 28+ ppg+380
1u
17
9
Jaylen Brown 30+ ppg+1200
0.15u
17
11
Herb Jones Steals Leader+2500
0.25u
15
6
Brandon Ingram 23+ ppg and Raptors 40+ Wins+600
0.1u
6
3
Evan Mobley 20+ ppg & 10+ rpg+190
0.5u
6
4
Pistons H2H wins vs Bucks-135
2u
10
5
Bulls to Participate in Play-In+220
0.25u
7
7
Donte DiVincenzo 3+ 3s per game+100
1u
Full analysis in The Huddle and on Cash That Podcast
14
6
Donte DiVincenzo 4+ 3s per game +2500
0.1u
14
7
Blazers Seeding over 11.5-105
1u
12
4
Isaiah Collier 8+ Assists per game+135
1u
17
6
Isaiah Collier Assists per Game Leader+10000
0.15u
13
6
LeBron James 10+ Points in Each Regular Season Game Played-120
1u
8
5
Mark Williams 10+ RPG-110
0.5u
9
6
Mark Williams 11+ RPG+200
0.5u
9
6
Jalen Brunson 8+ APG +330
0.2u
9
4
Pacers Last in Division+275
0.5u
4
3
Bulls Seeding under 11.5-110
0.25u
7
4
LaMelo Ball 4+ 3s per game+350
0.25u
7
5
Russell Westbrook 13/6/6+5000
0.2u
18
5
Amen Thompson 6+ Assists per game+300
0.5u
21
4
Edey 11+ RPG +230
1u
5
5
Derrick White 20+ ppg+200
1u
8
3
Brandon Ingram 23+ ppg+325
0.25u
10
4
Derrick White 3s per game leader+1700
1u
20
6
Edey 12+ rpg / Morant 23+ ppg / Grizz Playoffs+1600
0.5u
20
4
Mike Brown Coach of the Year+1500
0.25u
9
5
Erik Spolestra Coach of the Year+4000
0.15u
3
5
VJ Edgecomb All-Rookie+115
0.5u
7
5
Zubac 1st Team All Defense+800
0.15u
8
6
Victor Wembanyama 1st Team All-NBA+220
1u
8
5
Divison of NBA Champion: Northwest+145
1u
Thunder, Nuggets, Wolves oh my
15
9
Amen Thompson 18+ ppg and Rockets Title+2500
0.15u
11
5
Futures
Milwaukee Bucks+10000
2025-26 NBA Championship - To Win
1u
I’ll bite. Bet right when they signed Turner before they waived Dame. Think it’s worth a nibble down to 50/1 for a Giannis team. To me this is all a sign that the franchise is saying to Giannis we are doing anything we can to optimize your time here. Figure it out later but the number will never be this good as long as Giannis is in a Bucks jersey and is healthy.
29
11
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander+250
2025-26 NBA MVP
2u
SGA and the Thunder look to defend their title this season and he has a legitimate case to win a second consecutive MVP. Shai stacks up with Jokic in all of the advanced metrics and now Jokic is on the wrong side of 30 for the entire season while Shai is directly in his prime. Shai’s rotation is also conducive to him seeing a consistent output throughout the season since he generally plays the entire 3Q and will sit in the 4Q if there’s a blowout. His floor is incredibly high on a nightly basis. Jokic played the most minutes per game of his career last season and one of the primary reasons they brought in Cam Johnson is with the hope he can take some of the creation and facilitating off of Jokic as he can run a bench unit. Additionally, they brought in Valanciunas to mitigate the non-Jokic Center minutes. All of the word out of camp is to try and make Jokic’s life a little bit easier. Shai is an elite player on both sides of the floor and has a clear path for best player on the best team. MVP generally is going to the chalk, and we rarely see any longshots leapfrog multiple top tier favorites for this. I’ll back SGA to make it two in a row, which is historically common to see. It is at the 3-peat that we see some voter fatigue.
23
11
Los Angeles Clippers+195
2025-26 NBA Pacific Division - To Win
0.5u
Play down to +150 The Huddle and Cash That got it first
17
9
Golden State Warriors (No)+260
2025-26 NBA To Make The Playoffs
0.5u
16
10
Sacramento Kings u36.5-120
2025-26 NBA Regular Season - Total Wins
0.5u
17
5
Dallas Mavericks (Yes)+120
2025-26 NBA To Make The Playoffs
1u
18
7
Jordan Clarkson+3500
2025-26 NBA 6th Man of the Year
0.2u
6
3
Brooklyn Nets u19.5-110
2025-26 NBA Regular Season - Total Wins
1u
11
6
Indiana Pacers (No)-145
2025-26 NBA To Make The Playoffs
1u
8
4
Onyeka Okongwu+4000
2025-26 NBA 6th Man of the Year
0.25u
6
7
Brandon Miller+5000
2025-26 NBA Most Improved Player
0.2u
11
5
Washington Wizards o20.5-115
2025-26 NBA Regular Season - Total Wins
0.25u
11
7
New York Knicks-135
1u
7
6
Past Performance
Yesterday3-1-075%
0.85u
Last 7 Days11-11-246%
-0.43u
Last 30 Days41-50-543%
-8.39u
All Time4105-5021-17844%
211.20u
Top Leagues
NBA2997-3737-14844%
201.65u
OLYMPIC_BASKETBALL83-103-045%
17.95u
MLB472-436-1151%
3.47u
NFL216-294-742%
2.91u
UFL0-1-00%
-0.10u
World Cup0-1-00%
-0.15u
ATP1-2-033%
-0.17u
UFC0-2-00%
-0.40u
NCAAB56-57-050%
-0.66u
NHL9-17-035%
-0.94u
NASCAR2-16-011%
-0.97u
Golf0-8-00%
-1.55u
NCAAF16-21-043%
-1.76u
WNBA233-275-945%
-9.18u