
Joe Dellera

9.1K
Total Bets
142.5K
Followers
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 28-28-2 (+1.28u)
Joe Dellera's Picks
Today
G.Antetokounmpo o11.5 Rebs-113
MIL
117
-
115
IND
0.88u
FINAL 11/04
The Bucks face off against the Pacers in what should be a game they can control from start to finish.
Giannis has been dominant this season with averages of 34.2 points, 13.4 rebounds, and 7.2 assists per game. In this particular matchup, I’m targeting his 11.5 rebounds prop. He’s cleared this mark in 3/5 but he’s had two misses in a row against better rebounding teams in the Knicks and the Kings. Now, he faces one of the worst rebounding teams in the Pacers as they allow their opponents to secure the fourth-most rebounds per game. 
Giannis’ rebound floor has been extremely high against this Pacers team with at least 10 in every game since 2023. While the rosters are different, it speaks to their continued inability to slow him down.
80
9
K.Towns o11.5 Rebs-125
WAS
102
-
119
NYK
0.8u
FINAL 11/04
The Knicks play their second game in as many days and I’ll target KAT in this spot against the Wizards. 
Considering Mitchell Robinson played on Sunday and slightly rolled his ankle, I’d be shocked if he’s in today for the second game of the back to back. Without Mitch, KAT’s was averaging over 13 rebounds per game over the last two seasons. 
The Wizards play fast, which helps to potentially speed up New York a bit who plays at one of the slowest Paces in the league. This aligns well for KAT rebounds as the Wizards are below average in Rebound% on the season. Last season, KAT cleared this line in 3/4 with the one miss at 11.
46
11
K.George u7.5 Ast-140
UTA
105
-
103
BOS
0.71u
FINAL 11/04
Keyonte has been diming like crazy to start this season but there are some key quirks happening so far with Utah. Their rotation is already a disaster and now Isaiah Collier is expected to make his debut today. With Collier, George's assist rate drops precipitously from 10.425 Assists per 100w/o him to 5.54 with him. George was under 7.5 assists in 81% of games with Collier and still playing 25+ minutes last season. He was under 6.5 in 69% (nice) under those same parameters.
Boston has a fairly low assists allowed per game in part due to their slow Pace and they tend to not overcommit
15
8
K.George u6.5 Ast+110
UTA
105
-
103
BOS
0.55u
FINAL 11/04
39
7
N.Jokic o21.5 Rebs+Ast-114
SAC
124
-
130
DEN
1u
FINAL 11/04
🪣 Discussed this on Buckets!
Jokic and the Nuggets face off against Sabonis and the Kings on Monday and that head to head battle is what I want to target. 
Jokic has had tremendous success against Sabonis. He has averaged a triple double against him over the last few seasons with marks of 23.3 points, 12.6 rebounds, and 11.6 assists. One thing we have seen this season from Jokic is he has taken a bit of a step back from a scoring perspective. He seems more than willing to let everyone else get scoring opportunities while he distributes. His scoring is down from 29.6 ppg to 20.4; however, his assists have climbed from 10.2 to 10.8 on 17.8 potentials. 
As for the glass, he’s averaging 14.4 with a low of 12 to go with 22.6 rebound chances. The opportunities are there. 
He has thrived in this familiar matchup against Sabonis. I see no reason to deviate when they have gotten cooked on the glass by other Centers such as Ayton (15), Vucevic (14), and Hartenstein (14). Jokic should be able to excel once again in this spot.
75
10
Pending
J.Embiid o16.5 Pts-125
PHI
CHI
0.5u
11/05 1:00 AM
The Huddle got it first 🤝 
1
1
J.Embiid o18.5 Pts-115
PHI
CHI
0.5u
11/05 1:00 AM
Embiid and the Sixers face off against the Bulls on Tuesday night in a matchup where Embiid can smash.
Embiid has scored 20+ in 3 straight games as his minutes continue to climb. Now, he gets a great matchup against Vucevic who he has simply dominated in the past. 
The Bulls are highly susceptible to bigs allowing big games to Kristaps Porzingis, KAT, and Paolo Banchero. I expect Embiid to follow suit as he builds on his recent success.
7
1
Magic Best Record at end of November+5000
0.5u
3
5
Brandon Miller 20+ PPG + Hornets 40+ Wins+3000
0.35u
DK Under Team Specials
Miller averaged over 20 ppg last season in part due to various injuries but this is clearly not out of reach for him, especially if they're going to get to 40 games I think this is a relatively risk free and correlated bump for the price on 40+ wins.
The best in market number for 40+ that l've seen as a straight is +1600 (MGM) so we are getting essentially double the price on a correlated outcome.
40
22
Ja Morant 25+ ppg-120
0.5u
The Huddle got it first 
17
11
Ja Morant 28+ ppg+600
1u
Since Taylor Jenkins was fired the team reset around Ja Morant and he averaged 28.4 ppg in the team's last 7 regular season games. Now they moved on from Desmond Bane and they're dealing with some injuries (to the oft injured) JJJ. Morant's Usage for a full season could be insane. This swung in large part because Jenkins torched the Pick and Roll opportunities for Morant and after the firing the team leaned HEAVILY on that.
If you want to use the 28+ as an upper rung of the ladder that's fine and play 25+ ppg (-120 DK/MGM) as more of a base I won't begrudge you. I have some other plans for lower rungs for Morant so I'm splitting it unconventionally with 25+ at half a unit and 28+ as a full unit.
16
10
Joel Embiid 25+ ppg and Sixers Atlantic Division+550
1u
17
13
Victor Wembanyama 25+ ppg and Spurs 50+ Wins+400
1u
23
16
Cam Johnson 3+ 3s per Game+310
1u
Buckets
10
11
Jalen Brown 28+ ppg+380
1u
16
8
Jaylen Brown 30+ ppg+1200
0.15u
16
11
Herb Jones Steals Leader+2500
0.25u
14
6
Brandon Ingram 23+ ppg and Raptors 40+ Wins+600
0.1u
5
2
Evan Mobley 20+ ppg & 10+ rpg+190
0.5u
5
3
Pistons H2H wins vs Bucks-135
2u
9
4
Bulls to Participate in Play-In+220
0.25u
6
7
Donte DiVincenzo 3+ 3s per game+100
1u
Full analysis in The Huddle and on Cash That Podcast
13
6
Donte DiVincenzo 4+ 3s per game  +2500
0.1u
12
7
Blazers Seeding over 11.5-105
1u
11
4
Isaiah Collier 8+ Assists per game+135
1u
16
6
Isaiah Collier Assists per Game Leader+10000
0.15u
11
6
LeBron James 10+ Points in Each Regular Season Game Played-120
1u
7
5
Mark Williams 10+ RPG-110
0.5u
7
6
Mark Williams 11+ RPG+200
0.5u
7
6
Jalen Brunson 8+ APG +330
0.2u
8
4
Pacers Last in Division+275
0.5u
3
2
Bulls Seeding under 11.5-110
0.25u
6
3
LaMelo Ball 4+ 3s per game+350
0.25u
6
5
Russell Westbrook 13/6/6+5000
0.2u
17
5
Amen Thompson 6+ Assists per game+300
0.5u
20
4
Edey 11+ RPG +230
1u
4
5
Derrick White 20+ ppg+200
1u
7
3
Brandon Ingram 23+ ppg+325
0.25u
9
4
Derrick White 3s per game leader+1700
1u
19
6
Edey 12+ rpg / Morant 23+ ppg / Grizz Playoffs+1600
0.5u
19
4
Mike Brown Coach of the Year+1500
0.25u
8
5
Erik Spolestra Coach of the Year+4000
0.15u
2
5
VJ Edgecomb All-Rookie+115
0.5u
6
5
Zubac 1st Team All Defense+800
0.15u
7
6
Victor Wembanyama 1st Team All-NBA+220
1u
7
5
Divison of NBA Champion: Northwest+145
1u
Thunder, Nuggets, Wolves oh my
14
8
Amen Thompson 18+ ppg and Rockets Title+2500
0.15u
10
5
Futures
Milwaukee Bucks+10000
2025-26 NBA Championship - To Win
1u
I’ll bite. Bet right when they signed Turner before they waived Dame. 
Think it’s worth a nibble down to 50/1 for a Giannis team. To me this is all a sign that the franchise is saying to Giannis we are doing anything we can to optimize your time here. Figure it out later but the number will never be this good as long as Giannis is in a Bucks jersey and is healthy.
28
11
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander+250
2025-26 NBA MVP
2u
SGA and the Thunder look to defend their title this season and he has a legitimate case to win a second consecutive MVP. Shai stacks up with Jokic in all of the advanced metrics and now Jokic is on the wrong side of 30 for the entire season while Shai is directly in his prime. 
Shai’s rotation is also conducive to him seeing a consistent output throughout the season since he generally plays the entire 3Q and will sit in the 4Q if there’s a blowout. His floor is incredibly high on a nightly basis.
Jokic played the most minutes per game of his career last season and one of the primary reasons they brought in Cam Johnson is with the hope he can take some of the creation and facilitating off of Jokic as he can run a bench unit. Additionally, they brought in Valanciunas to mitigate the non-Jokic Center minutes. All of the word out of camp is to try and make Jokic’s life a little bit easier. 
Shai is an elite player on both sides of the floor and has a clear path for best player on the best team. MVP generally is going to the chalk, and we rarely see any longshots leapfrog multiple top tier favorites for this. I’ll back SGA to make it two in a row, which is historically common to see. It is at the 3-peat that we see some voter fatigue. 
20
10
Luka Doncic+2500
2025-26 NBA NBA Cup MVP
0.5u
22
12
Los Angeles Clippers+195
2025-26 NBA Pacific Division - To Win
0.5u
Play down to +150
The Huddle and Cash That got it first
16
9
Golden State Warriors (No)+260
2025-26 NBA To Make The Playoffs
0.5u
15
10
Sacramento Kings u36.5-120
2025-26 NBA Regular Season - Total Wins
0.5u
15
5
Dallas Mavericks (Yes)+120
2025-26 NBA To Make The Playoffs
1u
17
6
New Orleans Pelicans+25000
2025-26 NBA NBA Cup - To Win
0.1u
21
8
Jordan Clarkson+3500
2025-26 NBA 6th Man of the Year
0.2u
5
3
Brooklyn Nets u19.5-110
2025-26 NBA Regular Season - Total Wins
1u
8
6
Indiana Pacers (No)-145
2025-26 NBA To Make The Playoffs
1u
7
3
Onyeka Okongwu+4000
2025-26 NBA 6th Man of the Year
0.25u
4
7
Brandon Miller+5000
2025-26 NBA Most Improved Player
0.2u
10
5
Washington Wizards o20.5-115
2025-26 NBA Regular Season - Total Wins
0.25u
10
6
| Past Performance | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 1-1-1 | 33% | -0.09u  | 
| Last 7 Days | 16-14-2 | 50% | 0.00u  | 
| Last 30 Days | 28-28-2 | 48% | 1.28u  | 
| All Time | 4032-4918-171 | 44% | 222.99u  | 
| Top Leagues | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| NBA | 2924-3634-141 | 44% | 213.44u  | 
| OLYMPIC_BASKETBALL | 83-103-0 | 45% | 17.95u  | 
| MLB | 472-436-11 | 51% | 3.47u  | 
| NFL | 216-294-7 | 42% | 2.91u  | 
| UFL | 0-1-0 | 0% | -0.10u  | 
| World Cup | 0-1-0 | 0% | -0.15u  | 
| ATP | 1-2-0 | 33% | -0.17u  | 
| UFC | 0-2-0 | 0% | -0.40u  | 
| NCAAB | 56-57-0 | 50% | -0.66u  | 
| NHL | 9-17-0 | 35% | -0.94u  | 
| NASCAR | 2-16-0 | 11% | -0.97u  | 
| Golf | 0-8-0 | 0% | -1.55u  | 
| NCAAF | 16-21-0 | 43% | -1.76u  | 
| WNBA | 233-275-9 | 45% | -9.18u  | 
- Online Sports Betting

 - New York Sports Betting

 - Louisiana Sports Betting

 - Illinois Sports Betting

 - Pennsylvania Sports Betting

 - Colorado Sports Betting

 - Virginia Sports Betting

 - New Jersey Sports Betting

 - Michigan Sports Betting

 - Arizona Sports Betting

 - Kentucky Sports Betting

 - Canada Sports Betting

 - Ontario Sports Betting

 
- bet365

 - Fanatics Sportsbook

 - BetMGM

 - DraftKings

 - Caesars Sportsbook

 - ESPN BET

 - Fliff (Social Free to Play)

 - Kalshi (Exchange)

 - BetRivers

 - Underdog (DFS)

 - PrizePicks (DFS)

 - Dabble (DFS)

 - Sleeper (DFS)

 - Betr Picks (DFS)

 - DraftKings Pick6 (DFS)

 - Bleacher Nation (DFS)

 - Vivid Picks (DFS)

 - Splash Sports (DFS)

 - OwnersBox (DFS)

 - SuperDraft (DFS)

 - FanDuel

 









