2023 March Madness Round of 64 Betting Predictions: 1st Half Unders?

2023 March Madness Round of 64 Betting Predictions: 1st Half Unders? article feature image
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Since 2011, there has been a trend that has left sharps incredibly profitable.

Over the past decade-plus, first-half unders have won about 60% of the time during the Round of 64 and First Four.

When expanding the scope to the entire tournament, first-half unders win about 58% of the time.

Let's get more granular with this, though.

First-half unders for games that start at 2 p.m. ET or earlier have gone under 66% of the time when the total is fewer than 70 points. That's an eye-popping 25% ROI since 2011. A $500 per game bettor would be up about $11,250.

For the Round of 64, here are the games with a requisite first-half total under 70 and that tip off before 2 p.m. ET. Listed is also the best market price and which sportsbook is providing it.

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Maryland vs. West Virginia

Tipoff on Thursday, March 16 at 12:15 p.m. ET

Virginia vs. Furman

Tipoff on Thursday, March 16 at 12:40 p.m. ET

  • Under 61.5 (-115). BetMGM.

A note here that the 1:40 p.m. ET tipoff between Missouri vs. Utah State has a total over 70. If that ever dips below — unlikely — it would fit under these parameters.

Kansas vs. Howard

Tipoff on Thursday, March 16 at 2 p.m. ET

Michigan State vs. USC

Tipoff on Friday, March 17 at 12:15 p.m. ET

  • Under 64 (-106). BetRivers.

Like the aforementioned Missouri vs. Utah State game, Xavier vs. Kennesaw State (tipoff at 12:40 p.m. ET) doesn't fit the parameters of this system.

Baylor vs. UC Santa Barbara

Tipoff on Friday, March 17 at 1:30 p.m. ET

  • Under 68 (-108). BetRivers.

Saint Mary's vs. VCU

Tipoff on Friday, March 17 at 2 p.m. ET

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