Updated NFC South Title Odds

Futures Header Image

The Bucs lucked out this offseason with the return of the GOAT, Tom Brady, who retired at the end of the season only to return 41 days later. It's perfect timing for the now -350 favorites since the rest of the division is in pretty rough shape at the moment.

The Saints (+500) are bringing back a banged-up Jameis Winston, so that leaves things unclear for their season. The +1000 Panthers are sticking with Sam Darnold for now, but they drafted Matt Coral for the future, and also traded for Baker Mayfield. And the +1800 Falcons brought in Marcus Mariota for a second chance after trading away Matt Ryan to the Colts.

The NFC South is in the middle of the pack when it comes to strength of schedule this year, so check out the win total projections to try and make a good futures bet here.

Odds via Caesars and updated in real-time.

TeamOdds
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
-400
New Orleans Saints
+600
Carolina Panthers
+900
Atlanta Falcons
+2200

Preseason Updates

May 18: After some more free agency and the draft, the Bucs are now at -350, the Saints and Panthers standing at +500 and +1000, and the Falcons dropping even more to +1800.

April 1: Surprise! Tom Brady is back and so are the Buccaneers as heavy favorites in the South at -300. This development -- plus the Falcons trading away Matt Ryan -- also led to everyone else's odds dropping hard. The Saints came in at +500, the Panthers +1000 and the Falcons +1200.

Feb 28: Despite Tom Brady announcing his retirement, the buccaneers still opened the offseason as +140 favorites to repeat as NFC South champs, with the Saints (+220), Panthers (+375) and Falcons (+500) following suit. 

June 10: After the Brady news, the Bucs jumped to -350 to win the division. 

August 11: The Bucs are still favored at -300 but the Saints have closed the gap at +340. The Falcons are massive underdogs to win the division at +3500. 

FUTURESConsensusCons.
Tampa Bay BuccaneersBuccaneers
-400
-350
-425
-400
-380
-340
-400
New Orleans SaintsSaints
+600
+600
+600
+600
+600
+550
+550
Carolina PanthersPanthers
+900
+800
+900
+950
+800
+1000
+900
Atlanta FalconsFalcons
+2200
+1800
+2200
+2000
+1500
+2300
+2500

Past NFC South Winners

Odds via Sports Odds History prior to Week 1 of that season.

The NFC South has seen an even mix between all four teams over the years, thanks in large part of stellar quarterback play from the likes of Cam Newton, Matt Ryan and Drew Brees. Now Tom Brady is expected to help the Buccaneers repeat as champs, while the rest of the division watches from afar.

Year Team Record Odds
2002 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 12–4 -240
2003 Carolina Panthers 11-5 +650
2004 Atlanta Falcons 11–5 +165
2005 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 11–5 +500
2006 New Orleans Saints 10–6 +700
2007 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 9–7 +450
2008 Carolina Panthers 12–4 +275
2009 New Orleans Saints 13–3 +175
2010 Atlanta Falcons 13–3 +210
2011 New Orleans Saints 13–3 +100
2012 Atlanta Falcons 13–3 +125
2013 Carolina Panthers 12–4 +550
2014 Carolina Panthers 7-8-1 +500
2015 Carolina Panthers 15–1 +240
2016 Atlanta Falcons 11–5 +1000
2017 New Orleans Saints 11–5 +600
2018 New Orleans Saints 13–3 +120
2019 New Orleans Saints 13–3 -140
2020 New Orleans Saints 12–4 -160
2021 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 13–4 -200

Falcons logoAtlanta Falcons

The Falcons of Atlanta have been around since the late 1960s, but didn't make their first dent in the league until the late 70s/early 80s, when they made their first playoffs appearances and won their first division titles. Fast forward to 1998, and Atlanta would make their first appearance in the Super Bowl after winnings the NFC. The Falcons fell to John Elway's Denver Broncos then, and wouldn't get another chance at ultimate glory again until 2018 in Super Bowl 51 against the New England Patriots. As any football fan knows by now, the Falcons blew the biggest lead ever in a Super Bowl, up 28-3 late in the third quarter, and ultimately fell to Tom Brady and the Patriots 34-28 in overtime in a shocking collapse. The likes of Matt Ryans and Julio Jones wasn't enough to finally get it done for Atlanta. 

  • Playoff Berths: 14
  • Division Titles: 6
  • NFC Championships: 2
  • Super Bowl Championships: 0

Panthers logoCarolina Panthers

It can be argued that it's almost unfair that in the Panthers' two Super Bowl appearances, they had to face-off against two all-time greats in Tom Brady back in 2003, and Peyton Manning in 2015. Both games resulted in losses, meaning Carolina is still one of the select few NFL teams without a Lombardi Trophy. Jake Delhomme and Cam Newton couldn't get it done despite the latter being league MVP at the time, but there can only be one champion per season. The Panthers are currently looking for their next franchise quarterback, so we'll just have to wait and see when they get another opportunity to win it all. 

  • Playoff Berths: 8
  • Division Titles: 6
  • NFC Championships: 2
  • Super Bowl Championships: 0

Saints logoNew Orleans Saints

The Drew Brees era is sadly over, with the all-time great retiring at the end of the 2020 season. Brees helped lead the Saints to their first Super Bowl appearance and win in 2009, defeating Peyton Manning and the Indianapolis Colts. With that weight off their back, the Saints were competitive in the NFC for many years, but they could never make it back to the Big Game since. With former head coach Sean Payton now also out of the picture, New Orleans is searching for an identity for the first time in over 15 years. They've still got Alvin Kamara, Michael Thomas, Cameron Jordan and more on the squad, so they aren't too far off from returning as a contender, but they'll need the right leadership -- both on the sideline and under center -- before that happens.

  • Playoff Berths: 14
  • Division Titles: 9
  • NFC Championships: 1
  • Super Bowl Championships: 1

Buccaneers logoTampa Bay Buccaneers

Tampa Bay's football history comes down to two seasons, led by two men at different capacities. First, in 2002, head coach Jon Gruden led the Bucs to their first Super Bowl appearance against the Oakland Raiders -- his former team. The Buccaneers stomped the Raiders down to bring the Lombardi Trophy to Florida. Fast forward to 2020, and in a surprising turn of events, The G.O.A.T., Tom Brady, is donning the pirate flag on his helmet. Backed by a star-studded roster and head coach Bruce Arians, Brady led the Bucs to their second Super Bowl title in his first season down south. 

  • Playoff Berths: 12
  • Division Titles: 7
  • NFC Championships: 2
  • Super Bowl Championships: 2
NFL NFC South Title Odds FAQs
Can I bet on NFL division title winners?
Right Arrow
How do NFL odds work?
Right Arrow
What teams are in the NFC South?
Right Arrow
What does winning a division title mean?
Right Arrow
Who's won the most NFC South titles?
Right Arrow
Who won the NFC South in 2021?
Right Arrow