English Premier League Odds & Picks: How to Bet Fulham vs. Leicester City (Wednesday, Feb. 3)

English Premier League Odds & Picks: How to Bet Fulham vs. Leicester City (Wednesday, Feb. 3) article feature image
Credit:

Glyn Kirk – Pool/Getty Images. Pictured: Fulham’s Ruben Loftus-Cheek and Aleksandar Mitrovic.

  • Relegation favorite Fulham hosts Leicester City in Wednesday's Premier League action at Craven Cottage.
  • What looks to be a mismatch on paper isn't actually the case, according to Anthony Dabbundo.
  • He explains why he likes the home underdog below.

Fulham vs. Leicester City Odds

Fulham Odds +300
Leicester City Odds -104
Draw +255
Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-136)
Day | Time Wednesday | 1 p.m. ET
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Odds updated as of Wednesday morning and via DraftKings

Fulham vs. Leicester City looks like a mismatch on paper.

Leicester City is currently in fourth place in the Premier League, challenging for a Champions League spot and maybe even the title. Fulham is 18th and battling to avoid relegation.

However, this game is a little trickier than the table suggests.

Fulham

Fulham have won only two of their 20 league matches so far this season, and are currently seven points from safety. That’s the bad news.

The good news is they won 2-1 at Leicester City back on Nov. 30. And although Fulham haven’t won any of their 10 matches since, seven of them finished as draws.

That win over Leicester wasn’t a fluke, either — Fulham doubled them up in terms of expected goals, 1.8-0.9. Ademola Lookman and Ivan Cavaleiro scored for Fulham (Cavaleiro’s was a penalty), while Harvey Barnes struck late for Leicester.

Fulham’s only three losses since beating Leicester came against Manchester City (2-0), Chelsea (1-0) and Manchester United (2-1) — three narrow defeats against three of the traditional “Big Six” clubs.

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Leicester City

Leicester City responded well to that loss to Fulham in late November, following it up with six wins and two draws in their next nine matches. But they’re coming off a 3-1 defeat at home to Leeds United on Sunday, which was preceded by a 1-1 draw at Everton.

It’s probably not a coincidence that Leicester was without star forward Jamie Vardy for those two matches, and he remains out due to injury.

Vardy is Leicester’s leading scorer this season, with 11 league goals. No one else has more than seven. And they have no one who can come anywhere close to filling Vardy’s boots. Ayoze Pérez started at center forward the past two games, and has just one goal in 747 league minutes this season.

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Betting Analysis & Picks

I like Fulham’s chances of getting at least a point out of this match. But I wish we could get better than around +300 on the win, given the two teams’ disparate positions in the table.

Instead, I’ll take Fulham to either win or draw. After all, they already have eight draws this season — only Brighton have more (nine). That includes a 0-0 at Brighton last week, followed by a 2-2 at West Brom in which Fulham were much the better side, winning the xG battle 1.8 to 0.6.

Pick: Fulham or Draw (-113)

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