2019 Breeders’ Cup Classic Trifecta, Superfecta Betting Picks: Bet Against the Favorite McKinzie?

Credit:

Richard Mackson, USA Today Sports.

Nov 02, 2019, 11:59 PM EDT
  • The 2019 Breeders' Cup Classic will be run on Saturday, November 1 at 8:44 p.m. ET on NBC.
  • Sean Zerillo offers some strategies to help pick the right combination for exotics, including his trifecta and superfecta plays.

The 2019 Breeders’ Cup Classic will go to post at 8:44 p.m. ET on Saturday, with the Bob Baffert trained No. 8 McKinzie (3-1) listed as the morning-line favorite.

McKinzie has finished in first or second place in 12 of 13-lifetime starts – only missing the board in the 2018 Classic. Baffert is seeking his fourth-career win in this race, most recently taking the 2014 and 2015 editions with Bayern and American Pharoah, respectively.

Trainer John Sadler also has a chance to win the Classic for the second consecutive year, with his horse No. 7 Higher Power, after Accelerate won the 2018 Classic.

Should you include McKinzie and Higher Power on your exotic tickets, and are there any longshots to look out for?


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2019 Breeders’ Cup Classic Odds

No. 1: Math Wizard (30-1)
No. 2: Seeking the Soul (20-1)
No. 3: Owendale (15-1)
No. 4: War of Will (20-1)
No. 5: Yoshida (8-1)
No. 6: Elate (6-1)
No. 7: Higher Power (6-1)
No. 8: McKinzie (3-1)
No. 9: Mongolian Groom (12-1)
No. 10: Vino Rosso (4-1)
No. 11: Code of Honor (4-1)

2019 Breeders’ Cup Classic Trifecta, Superfecta Plays

Implied odds suggest that the No. 8 McKinzie wins this race 25% of the time, based upon morning line odds (3-1). But he is a tepid top selection.

McKinzie is arguably the best horse in the field and should win if he runs his best race.

But there are questions about his ability to get the full 10 furlongs in the Classic, and the recent jockey change from Mike Smith to Joel Rosario signifies a likely shift in tactics.

I’ll be going against him winning this race, as I think the distance concerns are valid – but McKinzie always runs well, and I will use him underneath on tickets.

What other horses should you consider including in your exotics?

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