Weather's been a factor all weekend for the 2025 Kentucky Derby.
The 151st Run of the Roses had potential rain in the forecast days leading up to Saturday. The closer to the main race we get, the Churchill Downs track in Louisville, Ky., is slopped up.
Obviously, this is important to the betting odds.
Luckily, we're staying up to date on the Kentucky Derby weather below, and providing insight from our horse racing experts on a particular horse who might benefit from potential rain Saturday.
2025 Kentucky Derby Odds
| Post | Horse | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Citizen Bull | 12-1 |
| 2 | Neoequos | 39-1 |
| 3 | Final Gambit | 15-1 |
| 5 | American Promise | 12-1 |
| 6 | Admire Daytona | 39-1 |
| 7 | Luxor Cafe | 8-1 |
| 8 | Journalism | 7-2 |
| 9 | Burnham Square | 18-1 |
| 11 | Flying Mohawk | 27-1 |
| 12 | East Avenue | 39-1 |
| 13 | Publisher | 31-1 |
| 14 | Tiztastic | 22-1 |
| 15 | Render Judgment | 17-1 |
| 16 | Coal Battle | 24-1 |
| 17 | Sandman | 5-1 |
| 18 | Sovereignty | 9-1 |
| 19 | Chunk of Gold | 26-1 |
| 20 | Owen Almighty | 38-1 |
| 21 | Baeza | 17-1 |
Odds via TwinSpires as of Saturday. Use our TwinSpires promo code ACTIONRACING to get a $400 Sign Up Offer!
Kentucky Derby Weather Report
It's important to note that on Friday, the Churchill Downs track in Louisville, Ky., was hit with severe weather. Jefferson County issued a severe thunderstorm warning roughly at 4 p.m.
It was enough weather to delay the Kentucky Oaks main race.
For Saturday's Kentucky Derby forecast, Accuweather was very detailed with its outlook for those going to the track.
The weather outlet noted "periods of rain and a thunderstorm into the early afternoon" and that "rain gear may come in handy for the Derby."
Accuweather gives an overall 98% chance of precipitation at Churchill Downs for May 3, alongside 39% chance of thunderstorms.
Rain throughout the area Saturday again makes for a sloppy track in the 6:57 p.m. ET Race 12. Who's the best bet?
Kentucky Derby Tips, Analysis
Truthfully, a lot of horses in the field have not seen the type of conditions they'll face in Saturday's Kentucky Derby.
When speaking of potential weather, horse racing expert Mike Conti highlighted Luxor Cafe as a horse to watch.
Luxor Cafe, 8-1 leading up to Race 12, has four firsts across six starts.
"He's run well with some moisture in the track, which I think will significantly benefit him," Conti said on the Action Network podcast. "And I think it's really important to note as well, he's sired by American Pharaoh. For those of us that watch horse racing or even bet on the Kentucky Derby, American Pharaoh was the one who broke the Triple Crown streak a few years back."
Check out more Kentucky Derby best bets and insights below!
