Guardians vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - June 9, 2024

Guardians at Marlins

5:40 pm • BSFL

Cleveland Guardians

46-49

6 - 3

Miami Marlins

44-51

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Rogers			7.11	0-2
C.Carrasco			5.64	3-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 46-49	-1.5+136	o8.5-109	-122
Marlins 44-51	+1.5-162	u8.5-111	+102

Sunday 5:40 p.m.

June 09, 2024

loanDepot parkMiami

T.Rogers u4.5 Ks-125

1.25u

CLE -116

0.86u

D.Fry o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+100

Under 8.5-115

0.5u

Flat to -125 or 8 (-106)

T.Rogers u4.5 Ks-110

Featured Insight
The Guardians have scored 2.9 runs per game in the first five innings this season -- fifth highest in MLB (62 games). The Marlins have allowed 3.1 runs per game in the first five innings this season -- third highest in MLB (63 games).

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Featured Insight
Marlins hitters have a groundball rate of 48% since last season -- highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians since last season -- fourth lowest in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: 3 Early-Game MLB Over/Unders to Bet
Brad Cunningham•
Jun 9, 2024 UTC

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The Guardians are 11-7 (.611) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .302.

Nick Fortes has an OPS of just .533 since last season -- second worst among hitters with at least 336 total PA's-- 0 Percentile. Emmanuel Clase has allowed an OPS of just .548 (411 PAs) since last season -- 11th best among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Nick Fortes has an OPS of just .590 since the 2022 season -- seventh worst among hitters with at least 579 total PA's-- second Percentile. Emmanuel Clase has allowed an OPS of just .499 (682 PAs) since the 2022 season -- fourth best among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .364 (51-for-140) against Carlos Carrasco with runners in scoring position since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 89 total IP; League Avg: .254 -- 0 Percentile.

Carlos Carrasco has allowed an OPS of .946 (416 PA's) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 89 total IP; League Avg: .709 -- 0 Percentile.

Trevor Rogers has thrown his changeup 26% of the time (211/825) on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season -- tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total CH; League Avg: 10% -- 99th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .412 (7-for-17) against Trevor Rogers when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days -- 2nd highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .209 -- fourth Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 31-17 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 19 of Marlins' 47 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	56-39	25-22	31-17	3-8	52-30
Guardians	48-47	19-24	29-23	17-18	31-28

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	45-49-1	19-28	26-21-1	5-6	39-42-1
Guardians	39-52-4	19-23-1	20-29-3	17-18	22-33-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	44-51	20-27	24-24	5-6	39-43
Guardians	46-49	20-23	26-26	22-13	24-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 8th	CLE	L 0-8	+1.5 L	U 8	CLE +140
Jun 7th	CLE	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 7.5	MIA -105
Jun 5th	TB	L 3-5	+1.5 L	O 7.5	TB +110
Jun 4th	TB	L 5-9	+1.5 L	O 7	TB +110
Jun 2nd	TEX	L 0-6	+1.5 L	U 8.5	TEX +105

Gabriel Arias
SS
Arias is out with leg
Out
Ben Lively
SP
Lively is out with elbow
Out
Shane Bieber
SP
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
John Means
SP
Means is out with elbow
Out

Braxton Garrett
SP
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Max Meyer
SP
Meyer is out for season with hip
Out for Season
Connor Norby
3B
Norby is out with wrist
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Carrasco, P	55	4.2	3	2
LT.Herrin, P	5	0.1	1	0
RN.Sandlin, P	15	1	0	0
LS.Hentges, P	14	1	2	0
RH.Gaddis, P	11	1	2	0
RE.Clase, P	15	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	1-3	1	0	0
2T.Freeman, CF	2-4	2	1	3
3J.Ramirez, 3B	2-5	1	0	1
4J.Naylor, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5D.Fry, C	1-4	0	0	1
5A.Hedges, C	0-0	0	0	0
6A.Gimenez, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
7G.Arias, DH	1-3	1	1	1
7K.Manzardo, PH	1-1	0	0	0
7K.Manzardo, DH	1-1	0	0	0
8D.Schneemann, RF	0-2	0	0	0
8W.Brennan, RF	0-1	0	0	0
9B.Rocchio, SS	1-4	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LT.Rogers, P	88	5	5	1
LA.Nardi, P	15	1	2	1
LA.Puk, P	12	0.1	0	3
RA.Bender, P	7	0.2	1	0
RB.Smith, P	47	2	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Chisholm, CF	1-4	1	1	1
2B.De La Cruz, RF	1-4	0	0	0
3J.Bell, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
4J.Burger, 3B	1-4	1	1	1
5J.Sanchez, DH	0-4	0	0	0
6X.Edwards, SS	1-3	1	0	0
7N.Gordon, LF	1-2	0	0	1
7D.Myers, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7D.Myers, LF	0-1	0	0	0
8V.Brujan, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
9N.Fortes, C	0-2	0	0	0
9T.Gray, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9C.Bethancourt, C	0-0	0	0	0