Guardians vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - June 7, 2024

Guardians at Marlins

11:10 pm • BSFL

Cleveland Guardians

46-49

2 - 3

Miami Marlins

44-51

pitcher		team	era	w-l
R.Weathers			3.64	5-6
L.Allen			5.73	8-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 46-49	-1.5+150	o7.5-108	-113
Marlins 44-51	+1.5-180	u7.5-112	-105

Friday 11:10 p.m.

June 07, 2024

loanDepot parkMiami

CLE -111

R.Weathers u4.5 Ks+115

1.15u

@The_Oddsmaker

R.Weathers u4.5 Ks+115

1.15u

MIA -105

L.Allen o15.5 Outs-120

0.83u

R.Weathers o4.5 Ks-128

1.28u

Weathers is coming off 7, 8, 11 Ks in his last three starts. He’s picked up a some velocity on his sweeper of late, which has turned it into a reliable K/whiff complement to his changeup. Overall, he’s over in 7/12 and 4/5 at home. CLE is more K prone vs lefties - 21.6% over the L30 days, and 9/L12 non openers have hit this line against them.

MIA +110

3.3u

Under 8-110

0.5u

Bet to -118 or 7.5 (+100)

Featured Insight
The Guardians have scored 2.9 runs per game in the first five innings this season -- fourth highest in MLB (60 games). The Marlins have allowed 3.1 runs per game in the first five innings this season -- third highest in MLB (62 games).

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Featured Insight
Marlins hitters have a groundball rate of 48% since last season -- highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians since last season -- fourth lowest in MLB.

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The Guardians are 33-19 (.635) after a home loss since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .512.

The Marlins are 28-15 (.651) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .578.

Bryan De La Cruz has an OPS of just .713 since the 2022 season -- 11th worst in MLB-- 10th Percentile. Emmanuel Clase has allowed an OPS of just .499 (682 PAs) since the 2022 season -- fourth best among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Ryan Weathers has allowed an OPS of just .365 (108 PA's) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .671 -- 100th Percentile.

Ryan Weathers has allowed an OBP of .402 (107 PA's) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .279 -- first Percentile.

Logan Allen has allowed a slugging percentage of .633 (57 Total Bases / 90 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .386 -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 31-17 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 19 of Marlins' 47 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	56-39	25-22	31-17	3-8	52-30
Guardians	48-47	19-24	29-23	17-18	31-28

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	45-49-1	19-28	26-21-1	5-6	39-42-1
Guardians	39-52-4	19-23-1	20-29-3	17-18	22-33-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	44-51	20-27	24-24	5-6	39-43
Guardians	46-49	20-23	26-26	22-13	24-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 5th	TB	L 3-5	+1.5 L	O 7.5	TB +110
Jun 4th	TB	L 5-9	+1.5 L	O 7	TB +110
Jun 2nd	TEX	L 0-6	+1.5 L	U 8.5	TEX +105
Jun 1st	TEX	L 0-7	+1.5 L	U 8	TEX -118
May 31st	TEX	W 8-2	+1.5 W	O 8.5	MIA +116

Gabriel Arias
SS
Arias is out with leg
Out
Ben Lively
SP
Lively is out with elbow
Out
Shane Bieber
SP
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
John Means
SP
Means is out with elbow
Out

Braxton Garrett
SP
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Max Meyer
SP
Meyer is out for season with hip
Out for Season
Connor Norby
3B
Norby is out with wrist
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LL.Allen, P	83	6	3	2
RH.Gaddis, P	7	1	0	0
RC.Smith, P	23	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Freeman, CF	1-3	0	0	0
2J.Ramirez, DH	0-3	0	0	0
3J.Naylor, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
4D.Fry, LF	1-4	0	0	0
4D.Fry, C	1-4	0	0	0
5A.Gimenez, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
6G.Arias, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
7W.Brennan, RF	0-3	0	0	0
8A.Hedges, C	1-2	1	0	0
8D.Schneemann, PH	1-1	0	0	0
8D.Schneemann, LF	1-1	0	0	0
9B.Rocchio, SS	1-3	1	1	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LR.Weathers, P	40	2.1	3	2
RE.Ramirez, P	37	2.2	2	0
LA.Nardi, P	12	1	0	0
LA.Puk, P	8	1	1	0
RC.Faucher, P	7	0.1	0	0
LT.Scott, P	10	1.2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1X.Edwards, SS	0-3	0	0	0
2B.De La Cruz, LF	3-4	1	1	1
3J.Bell, DH	1-4	1	1	1
4J.Burger, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
5J.Chisholm, CF	1-3	0	0	1
6D.Myers, RF	0-3	0	0	0
6J.Sanchez, PH	1-1	0	0	0
6J.Sanchez, RF	1-1	0	0	0
7E.Rivera, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
8V.Brujan, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
9N.Fortes, C	0-3	0	0	0