With the NASCAR season shifting into gear, this weekend we get the Pennzoil 400. Whereas last week’s race at Atlanta Motor Speedway featured its fair share of strategy thanks to the track’s high tire wear, this week we seem likely to get a rather typical race, as there’s nothing particular individualistic about Las Vegas Motor Speedway. It’s a 1.5-mile track with reasonably low tire wear, and it’s neither notably steep nor flat. It’s just a regular ol’ tri-oval. As a result, the machine learning statistical models and similarity scores at RotoViz this week rely most on track-type (instead of track-specific) history as well as final practice times.

 

For more information on the track and drivers as well as some daily fantasy NASCAR insight, check out the two podcasts I recorded this week with Nick Giffen (RotoDoc) of RotoViz.

When sorting through the over/under and head-to-head driver props for Las Vegas, I’ve opted to focus most projected finishing positions (as well track-type history and practice times) in the RotoViz tools.

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model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
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