3 NBA Props for Thursday: Curry Over/Under 25.5 Points?


Troy Taormina – USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Stephen Curry

This article offers data-driven analysis on notable NBA player prop bets, often incorporating The Action Network’s public betting data along with the tools at FantasyLabs and Sports Insights.

Thursday’s analysis will cover the following three props for Game 1 of the NBA Finals featuring the Cleveland Cavaliers at Golden State Warriors at 9 p.m. ET:

  • Tristan Thompson (Cavaliers) over/under 7.5 points
  • Stephen Curry (Warriors) over/under 25.5 points
  • JR Smith (Cavaliers) over/under 9.5 points

Looking for more props? Check out the FantasyLabs NBA Player Props tool and our FREE Game 1 Props Sheet.



Tristan Thompson Under 7.5 Points (-115)

9 p.m. ET | ABC

Thompson played an important role for the Cavaliers during the Eastern Conference Finals but still averaged just 7.4 points per game. Though he logged nearly 28 minutes per game in that series, he’s not guaranteed to play anywhere near as many against the Warriors. Golden State plays much smaller and faster than the Celtics, forcing the Cavs to play smaller lineups in response. Thompson was essentially benched for most of the Pacers series; he’s never exactly been entrenched in the rotation.

Stephen Curry over 25.5 Points (-130)

9 p.m. ET | ABC

Curry seemed to get his mojo going in the last few games of the Rockets series, exceeding 25.5 points in four of his past five games. Still, he has room for growth considering his shooting numbers over that time frame: He shot “just” 47.7% from the field and 40.3% from 3-point range, both of which are decreases when compared to his regular-season average. He also gets a nice upgrade in matchup against the Cavaliers, who are allowing 105.9 points per 100 possessions during the postseason.

JR Smith Under 9.5 Points (+100)

9 p.m. ET | ABC

Minutes have not been an issue for Smith during the postseason, but they haven’t translated to a lot of scoring. Smith averaged just 6.1 points per game in the Eastern Conference Finals and won’t see much of an upgrade in matchup against the Warriors in the NBA Finals, as Golden State was tied for eighth in defensive efficiency during the regular season and has allowed just 99.7 points per 100 possessions during the postseason.

All lines accurate as of 6:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, May 31.

How would you rate this article?

Top Offers

Odds Boosts
See More >
Odds boosts are simply regular bets offered at enticing odds. They're available to everyone and there's no limit to how many you can bet.
Sportsbook Reviews
See More >
Discover the best online sports betting sites and take advantage of bonus offers from legal sportsbooks.
Expert Picks
See More >
See what plays the Action Network experts are making for all of today's games.
PRO Membership
See More >
Access betting systems and signals to get daily, actionable picks.
Download the App
See More >
Download the Action app to track all your bets in one place. Exclusive data helped you make smarter betting decisions.
See More >
The best sports betting newsletter with trends, insights and news - condensed in a two-minute read.
Live Odds
See More >
See live odds and the best lines for every game.

Follow Us On Social

Top Stories