Three NBA Prop Bets for Saturday: Whiteside Over/Under 11.5 Boards?
Today’s slate is light on NBA action, with most of the attention shifting toward the college game instead. That said, the FantasyLabs Player Props tool has still identified a handful of potentially exploitable prop bets. There are currently five props with a Bet Quality of 10 and an additional 13 props with a Bet Quality of at least eight.
Here are three props that I’m eyeing for games starting at 7:30, 8:30, and 10:30 p.m. ET.
Hassan Whiteside under 11.5 rebounds (-120 at Sportsbook.com)
7:30 p.m. ET
Whiteside is one of the best rebounders in the NBA, as he trails only DeAndre Jordan and Andre Drummond this season with his rebound rate of 25.8 percent, but minutes are a huge concern with Whiteside. He’s played fewer than 30 minutes in five straight games, and in four of those contests he failed to crack 25. One of those games was against these same Washington Wizards, and Whiteside managed just six boards in that contest.
Lou Williams over 21.5 points (-150 at Bovada)
10:30 p.m. ET
This is expected to be a relatively low scoring night in the NBA, with seven of the eight teams owning an implied team total of no more than 108 points. The one exception is the Los Angeles Clippers, who have an implied team total of 114 points against the Orlando Magic, who rank 26th in the league in defensive efficiency. Both of these teams also rank in the top eight in pace, so there could be a lot points. Lou Williams is coming off a poor outing in his last game against the Cavaliers, but he had posted a usage rate of at least 30.4 percent in the three games prior.
Russell Westbrook under 9.5 assists (-125 at Bovada)
8:30 p.m. ET | ABC
Westbrook has one of the toughest matchups of the day against the San Antonio Spurs, who still grade out as the second-best defensive team in the league even with Kawhi Leonard missing the majority of the season. Westbrook has averaged exactly 9.5 assists per game in his two previous meetings with the Spurs this season, but those games came while the Thunder were still trying to figure out their offensive identity. Westbrook has reverted to a higher usage style of play since then, which suggests there might be some value on the under.
Top Photo: Hassan Whiteside; Photo Credit: Chuck Cook- USA Today Sports