Pittsburgh vs Iowa State Odds, Picks & Predictions - March 17, 2023

PITT @ ISU

7:31 pm • truTV

Pittsburgh Panthers

22-11

59 - 41

Iowa State Cyclones

19-13

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pittsburgh 22-11	+4.5	+4.5-110	o131.5-110	+160
Iowa State 19-13	u133.5	-4.5-110	u131.5-110	-190

Friday 7:31 p.m.

March 17, 2023

Greensboro ColiseumGreensboro

Pitt vs. Iowa State: Back the Fresher Team
Doug Ziefel•
Mar 17, 2023 UTC

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Pittsburgh is the public's third favorite No. 11 seed upset pick, showing up in 28% of NCAA Tournament brackets nationwide.

Our tournament ratings give Iowa State 60.5% odds to win this game and advance to the Second Round.

Halfway through the First Round, Iowa State is the least likely No. 6 seed to make the Final Four, with 2.9% odds (breakeven moneyline +3313).

No. 6 Iowa State has played in nine of the past 20 NCAA tournaments, going 10-9 straight up and 11-8 against the spread in 19 total games.

No. 11 Pittsburgh has played in 13 of the past 20 NCAA tournaments, going 16-13 straight up and 11-18 against the spread in 29 total games.

Since 2002, No. 6 seeds like Iowa State are 44-36 against No. 11 seeds like Pittsburgh in the First Round (55.0% win rate, breakeven moneyline -122).

No. 11 seeds have the better record against the spread in those March Madness games, going 44-35-1 ATS (55.6% cover rate, average spread +3.4).

The No. 6 vs. No. 11 matchup has gone under the full game total 57.5% of the time (46-34, average over/under line 136.1).

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date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 11th	@KU	L 58-71	+4.5 L	U 130.5	KU +168
Mar 9th	@BAY	W 78-72	+4.5 W	O 135.5	ISU +170
Mar 4th	@BAY	W 73-58	+7.5 W	U 134.5	ISU +250
Feb 28th	WVU	L 69-72	-4.5 L	O 134	WVU -200
Feb 25th	OKLA	L 50-61	-7 L	U 128.5	OKLA -327

Iowa State are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Iowa State are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Iowa State are 6-9 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Iowa State' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 6 of Iowa State' 17 last games at home

NCAAB Public Betting

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Iowa State	16-16	10-7	6-9	7-8	9-8
Pittsburgh	22-10-1	12-7	10-3-1	12-6	10-4-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Iowa State	11-21	6-11	5-10	5-10	6-11
Pittsburgh	21-12	12-7	9-5	10-8	11-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Iowa State	19-13	N/A	N/A	11-4	8-9
Pittsburgh	22-11	N/A	N/A	15-3	7-8

Pittsburgh

Iowa State

14-41 (34%)

Field Goals

14-60 (23%)

25-29 (86%)

Free Throws

11-19 (58%)

6-19 (32%)

2-21 (10%)

Rebounds

Assists

Turnovers

Steals

Blocks

Fouls

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MatchupOverUnder
Pittsburgh 22-11	o63.5-118	u63.5-109
Iowa State 19-13	o67.5-117	u67.5-109