Collin Wilson

960 Posts
Collin Wilson
960 Posts
College Football, MLB, NFL, WWE, Academy Awards
Role
Senior Writer
Experience
21 years
Location
Tulsa, OK
Total Bets
5.2K
Followers
62.5K

Collin Wilson's Picks

Today
Pending
NMSU +13-115
NEV
NEV Team Abbreviation@NMSU Team Abbreviation
NMSU
1.15u
08/27 4:00 PM
Huge TARP gap between NMST and Nevada. Both Jerry Kill and Ken Wilson will want to focus on running the ball. NMST returns nearly all pressures from last season, Nevada just 11% of offensive line snaps back
47
2
VAN -6.5-110
VAN
VAN Team Abbreviation@HAW Team Abbreviation
HAW
0.55u
08/28 2:30 AM
Project Vanderbilt -10, 72% of defensive pressures return against an OL returning 44% of snaps and new scheme. Hawaii returns less that 20% of passing yards at QB, Vandy returns 70% of PBUs
68
4
Under 54.5-110
WVU
WVU Team Abbreviation@PITT Team Abbreviation
PITT
1.1u
09/01 11:00 PM
Interviewing Narduzzi, New OC Cignetti will have Slovis hand the ball off, big emphasis on rush. Pitt will move from top 25 tempo to bottom of FBS. WVU transfers galore on D, finished T20 in finishing drives. Would have made this 57 at last years Pitt tempo
59
4
MSU -18-110
WMU
WMU Team Abbreviation@MSU Team Abbreviation
MSU
1.1u
09/02 11:00 PM
Expect this to close north of 21. Complete rebuild for WMU at QB and just 23% of OL snaps back. Spartans get 75% of PBUs and half of their pressure numbers on defense
78
5
TCU -10-110
TCU
TCU Team Abbreviation@COLO Team Abbreviation
COLO
1.1u
09/03 2:00 AM
Project TCU -16. Betting Gillespie over Sanford. Colorado offense was dreadful in first scrimmage w penalties. Both Duggan/Morris expected to play full game full TCU
33
2
CIN +7.5-110
CIN
CIN Team Abbreviation@ARK Team Abbreviation
ARK
1.1u
09/03 7:30 PM
Number at Stations, good at 7 also. Project Arkansas -3.5. Cincy returns 91% of offensive line snaps, Arkansas defensive line full of fresh faces. Don’t expect Razorbacks to show anything w South Carolina on deck.
50
STAN +11.5-110
USC
USC Team Abbreviation@STAN Team Abbreviation
STAN
1.1u
09/10 11:30 PM
PAC-12 preview completed, project this game USC -8 and will hit again if approaches 14. Tanner McKee and EJ Smith get OL trench play the Cardinal can shootout w any P12 team
24
3
DAL +2.5-110
TB
TB Team Abbreviation@DAL Team Abbreviation
DAL
1.1u
09/12 12:20 AM
Center Ryan Jensen could miss season, Brady’s only center while in Tampa. Hainsley and Leverett quoted as replacements by Bowles, neither played center in College. Neither have over 100 nfl snaps
5
1
Futures
Clemson +750
Odds to Win College Football Championship
3u
Georgia +1200
Odds to Win College Football Championship
2u
1
Phillies +1800
Odds to Win the 2019 World Series
1u
2
Oklahoma +3000
Odds to Win College Football Championship
1u
1
Seattle Mariners+600
2022 MLB AL West - To Win
1u
Mariners didn’t give up anything to get Winker and Suarez. Added Robbie Ray, Julio Rodriguez on track to be a huge offensive star. Dipoto will continue to buy to catch the Astros
29
9
Toronto Blue Jays+225
2022 MLB AL East - To Win
4u
Best offensive WAR in AL projected, Gausman/Kikuchi added to front and back of an already good rotation
14
5
Minnesota Twins+800
2022 MLB AL Central - To Win
1.5u
Per Zerillo, play down to +450. Need a full year of Buxton and are still looking to add arms
15
4
Ohio State Buckeyes+800
2022-23 NCAAF Championship - To Win
2u
From Post-National Championship writeup with I for on Jim Knowles and returning production Offered initially at Fan Duel, would buy through +500.
5
14
TCU Horned Frogs+1800
2022-23 NCAAF Big 12 Conference - To Win
2u
From BetRivers opener, power rating bumps with Sonny Dykes bringing in DC Joseph Gillespie. TARP has 70%+ on both sides of ball. Project 6.5 conference wins, within a win of Texas, OK State and Oklahoma.
6
5
North Carolina State Wolfpack+1400
2022-23 NCAAF ACC Conference - To Win
2u
Project 5.9 conference wins, obvious single hedge spot being short underdog at Clemson. Super soft Sept schedule leading into Tigers
5
6
Arkansas Razorbacks o6.5+120
2022-23 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
4u
From WynnBET opener, project 7.5 wins. Plenty of defenses on this schedule cannot defend the power run the Razorbacks will run on Standard Downs
7
7
Washington State Cougars o5.5+140
2022-23 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2u
Coug Raid led by Incarnate Word QB Cameron Ward projected at 5.6 wins. Plenty of spots to hedge on Schedule with just four conference raid games that include Zona and Stanford.
12
1
USC Trojans u9.5+135
2022-23 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
4u
Number at FanDuel. Cast of all stars on offense, but DC Grinch has a major overhaul in the secondary and defensive line. Plenty of shootouts coming. At Utah, v UCLA/Notre Dame toss ups. USC must sweep remaining schedule of instant offenses (Stanford, Or State, Wazzu)
16
6
Washington Huskies o7.5-110
2022-23 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2.2u
Project 9 for new head coach Kalen DeBoar. Penix transfers in with a sleuth of talent at skill positions. Soft P12 schedule, no Utah or USC
14
3
Utah Utes+400
2022-23 NCAAF Pac-12 Conference - To Win
2.5u
Number at FanDuel. Project 10 wins, host USC. New P12 model reflect B12 in top two teams make Vegas Championship game. Cam Rising, Tavion Thomas and 65% of D returns. Will be favored in all 12 games
19
6
Miami (OH) RedHawks+500
2022-23 NCAAF Mid-American Conference - To Win
2u
From the Conference Odds Futures piece. Easiest division in FBS, best QB in the conference.
15
3
Jaxon Smith-Njigba+5000
2022-23 NCAAF Heisman Trophy Winner
1u
A QB award until DeVonta Smith won in 2020. A chance at fielding punts would help votes. A better defense for Buckeyes should give Stroud more possessions to hit Smith-Njigba for scores
6
3
Cameron Rising+10000
2022-23 NCAAF Heisman Trophy Winner
1u
Longshot QB getting no attention in the market. Plenty to overcome from West Coast bias to having the Utes sweep the schedule. An inexperienced Florida secondary awaits in the opener
6
5
Kansas Jayhawks o2.5-110
2022-23 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2.2u
Favorites over Tennessee Tech and Duke leave a single victory needed in Big12 play or against Houston. Leipold beat Texas and covered TCU/WVU to end 2021. QB Jalon Daniels can upset depleted defenses of WVU, ISU or TTU
18
8
Kansas State Wildcats o6.5-130
2022-23 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2.6u
Dark horse B12 contender, Klieman continues to field best trench in B12 on both sides of the ball. Adrian Martinez a perfect fit for the 21 personnel ground attack, but turnover rate is critical. 6 games as comfortable favorites, 5 additional games as coin flips.
19
5
West Virginia Mountaineers u5.5+110
2022-23 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
4u
Project 4 wins and a TD or more Underdog in the final 5 games of the season. Kansas and Towson the only clear spots as favorites. OC Harrell looking to get 12 games out of QB JT Daniels while defense using portal to cover just 39% returning per TARP
18
5
Baylor Bears u7.5+115
2022-23 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
4u
Project 6 wins after 10-2 season. Lowest offensive TARP of any team in B12, QB Shapen losing skill positions and half OL. Two clear wins on schedule LaTech/Texas State. Seven projected spreads fall within a TD, as six of seven are needed to lose this future. Plenty of hedge spots in November w OU, KState and Texas
23
6
Nevada Wolf Pack u5-120
2022-23 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
4.8u
Number at DK. Project 4.3, scheme change both sides w new head coach. Non-scholarship players in the two-deep. Draw Boise and Air Force from Mountain
17
2
San Jose State Spartans o6.5+115
2022-23 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
4u
Chevan Cordeiro transfers in, lose just one target in passing game. No Boise or Air Force on schedule. Four of last 5 games hedge spots with 10 consecutive games to end season.
20
3
New Mexico Lobos u2.5-125
2022-23 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2.5u
Danny Gonzalez covered just one game last year. Installing 3rd offense in 3 seasons. Less than 45% returns on both sides of ball per TARP. Will not be favored much over Maine in opener, a game they have to have.
17
1
Utah State Aggies u7+100
2022-23 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
4u
Project 5.7. 3rd toughest schedule of defenses of all Mountain West teams. MW DC’s had an off-season to adjust to Anderson/Bonner. Lose top 3 targets. Four wins of four or less, -3 PR bump for Second Order Win Total
18
2
Illinois Fighting Illini u4.5+110
2022-23 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2u
Project 3.7, Bielema returns 25% of snaps on the offensive line. DeVito crumbled at Syracuse with pocket pressure. Just 40% of pressures return to the defense. New OC Barry Lunney must improve offensive finishing drives
12
Nebraska Cornhuskers+380
2022-23 NCAAF Big Ten West Division - To Win
2.5u
Number at DK. Whipple uptempo offense with Casey Thompson high ceiling (and floor). Chinander got defense to top 10 in finishing drives last season. Dodge Ohio State, Mich State, Maryland and Penn State from East. Do not have to hedge the ticket until mid-November
15
1
Pittsburgh Panthers+300
2022-23 NCAAF ACC Coastal Division - To Win
2u
No Clemson, NC State, Florida State or Wake on schedule. Cignetti at OC gets the offensive style Narduzzi wants. Only hedge spot comes at season ending road trip to Miami (if hedge is even needed). Best DL in country outside of Clemson
13
Boston College Eagles u6.5-130
2022-23 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
5.2u
From ACC Preview, project 4.7. BC to be at least one possession underdogs in 7 games. OL rebuild w new coordinator, take on defensive lines of Clemson, FSU, NC State and Notre Dame
31
5
Wake Forest Demon Deacons u8.5-118
2022-23 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
2.36u
Project 7.5 wins, defensive improvement coming with Lambert. To go Over, Wake must upset in a touchdown underdog spot against Clemson, FSU, Louisville or NC State
15
2
Old Dominion Monarchs+3500
2022-23 NCAAF Sun Belt East Division - To Win
1u
Return more than any other offense in Sun Belt. Finished 2021 on a heater winning 6 straight. Finished w 8 covers ATS. QB Hayden Wolff gets all his weapons back, ODU dodgers ULL Troy and Southern Miss from West
15
4
Arkansas State Red Wolves u5-120
2022-23 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
4.8u
Project 3.5, just 42% of offense and 53% of defense returns. Finished near dead last offensive havoc allowed and defensive finishing drives. Favorites in just 3 games (Grambling, UMass, ULM) and just one coin flip w GaSo
16
3
Georgia State Panthers o7+112
2022-23 NCAAF Regular Season - Total Wins
4u
Project 8 wins, at least 80% returning in both sides of the ball with Sun Belt 1st Teamers on both sides. 5 games as comfortable favorites. 5 others as coin flips. Troy the hedge game in November
11
2
Donovan Edwards+30000
2022-23 NCAAF Heisman Trophy Winner
0.5u
Number at Westgate. Harbaugh raves about Edwards at B1G Media Days, massive increase in touches expected (rushing, receiving, passing). 7th highest Yards per Route Run (explosiveness) of all WR/RB with 10 targets last year
9
6
Past Performance
Yesterday0-0-00%
0.00u
Last 7 Days0-1-00%
-0.55u
Last 30 Days12-11-150%
0.71u
All Time2586-2520-12649%
-57.32u
Top Leagues
NCAAF1015-925-4451%
24.28u
MLB746-724-4749%
17.96u
XFL3-1-075%
1.50u
NFL180-171-850%
-3.60u
Golf63-92-539%
-23.44u
NCAAB576-605-2248%
-74.51u

Summary

Collin runs The Action Network's College Football vertical from written content to originating the Power Ratings for the Action Network App.

He also contributes in College Basketball, MLB, NFL, WWE and the Academy Awards. Collin can be found on the Big Bets on Campus podcasts and various spots on MLB Network and other media platforms. Prior to joining Action in 2018, Collin had featured College Football content with The Athletic while maintaining a career in software consulting.

Experience

Collin is a Senior Writer for the Action Network but serves in various roles behind the scenes.

Data visualization of probabilities, power ratings and head to head matchups are apart of the Action Analytics blooming platform. Collin is also co-host of the Big Bets on Campus podcast, producing three versions each with with his peers Brett McMurphy and Stuckey. Power Ratings for points spreads and totals that power the Action Network app in College Football are supplied by Collin along with a history of wagers dating back to the birth of the app in 2017 as SportsAction.

Education

Bachelors of Science Computer Engineering; Masters of Science Computer Engineering from the University of Arkansas.

Collin's passion in math-based problem solving complimented his career in advanced statistics for College Football and MLB handicapping.

More from Collin Wilson
On Social
Betting Highlights
Favorite Bet of All-Time
Collin has supported the Kansas City Royals since before he could walk, growing up in Arkansas just a few hours away from Kauffman Stadium. In 2014, the Royals faced Jon Lester and the Athletics in the AL Wild Card game. Collin decided to wager 8 grand to cover the cost of his family seats behind the Royals dugout. The A's had a commanding lead late in the game before Salvador Perez painted the 3rd base line giving Kansas City the win, and an emotional and financial win for Collin.
Most Heartbreaking Bet
As sketched by The Action Network with DraftKings in 2020, Collin left his grandmothers birthday party at Chili's when Cincinnati came back to beat Duke in the 2012 Belk Bowl. Collin had a sizable wager, and Duke's lead in the game helped Collin converse with 20 family members to celebrate the 79th birthday of his beloved grandmother. When Travis Kelce his the explosive touchdown, Collin threw a $100 bill on the table and left his family instantly.
Specialties
  • College Football
  • MLB
  • NFL
  • WWE
  • Academy Awards