Cincinnati-Houston Betting Preview: Which Team Grabs Control of AAC?

Feb 10, 2019 08:45 PM EST

Reinhold Matay-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Cincinnati Bearcats forward Tre Scott (13), Houston Cougars guard Corey Davis Jr. (5).

Only three ranked teams are in action during Sunday’s college basketball docket, but two of them are facing off down south. No. 12 Houston faces No. 25 Cincinnati in a battle for first in the American Athletic Conference.

What’s the best way to bet this critical matchup? Let’s break it down.

>> All odds as of Saturday evening. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NCAAB odds and track your bets.

Betting Odds: Cincinnati Bearcats at Houston Cougars

  • Spread: Houston -5
  • Over/Under: 133.5
  • Time:  4 p.m. ET
  • TV: ESPN

The Cougars (15-7-1 against the spread) have covered in five of their past six games while owning a 22-1 outright record. Meanwhile, the Bearcats (12-11 ATS) have done so in three of their past four affairs after failing to cover in four consecutive contests.

Both units are two of the top defensive teams in the country, owning the 11th- and 33rd-ranked Adjusted Defensive Efficiency, respectively. But Kelvin Sampson’s crew owns an advantage with its perimeter offense, as Cincinnati has yielded the eighth-highest scoring rate (40.0%) from behind the arc. The Bearcats also allow a below-average 35.9% three-point clip.

Houston’s 35.1% 3-point clip doesn’t stand out, but it has amassed the 56th-highest shot rate (43.9%) from the perimeter while producing the 90th-highest scoring scoring rate (35.2%) from that vicinity.