CBB Sharp Report: Pros Betting Penn State-Northwestern, 2 Other Monday Games

Feb 04, 2019 05:30 PM EST

Matthew OHaren-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: John Harrar

  • Sharp bettors are affecting lines in three of tonight's college basketball matchups, including Louisville-Virginia Tech (7 p.m. ET) and Penn State-Northwestern (8 p.m. ET).
  • Sports Insights' Bet Signals and betting market percentages reveal which bets the pros are making.

We’re on to college basketball! Well, most of us have been betting it the past few months anyway, but following the completion of the NFL season last night, we’ve got one less betting option from which to choose.

Sharps don’t seem to mind, though. Tonight, they’ve located three games with some value on a relatively light college hoops slate, including two of the bigger matchups of the night: Louisville-Virginia Tech (7 p.m. ET) and Penn State-Northwestern (8 p.m. ET).

>> All odds as of 2:30 p.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time college basketball odds and track your bets.

Louisville @ Virginia Tech

7 p.m. ET | ESPN

Sharp angle: Under (moved from 137.5 to 136)

As PJ Walsh noted earlier today, bettors aren’t really concerned with Virginia Tech’s recent inability to score. Even though the Hokies mustered only 47 points in Saturday’s matchup against NC State, two-thirds of bets on tonight’s total have hit the over.

Despite that, this number has fallen from its opener.

The 33% of bettors hitting the under have generated 80% of actual money being wagered on the total. Not only does that create a liability for sportsbooks (this is today’s most heavily bet game), but it reveals that the under is drawing significantly bigger bets — ones more likely to be made by sharps.

That indication is confirmed by two Sports Insights Bet Signals, which mark sharp action hitting the under at a total of 137.

Marist @ Canisius

7 p.m. ET | ESPN3

model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
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