CBB Sharp Report: Pros Betting Penn State-Northwestern, 2 Other Monday Games

CBB Sharp Report: Pros Betting Penn State-Northwestern, 2 Other Monday Games article feature image
Credit:

Matthew OHaren-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: John Harrar

  • Sharp bettors are affecting lines in three of tonight's college basketball matchups, including Louisville-Virginia Tech (7 p.m. ET) and Penn State-Northwestern (8 p.m. ET).
  • Sports Insights' Bet Signals and betting market percentages reveal which bets the pros are making.

We’re on to college basketball! Well, most of us have been betting it the past few months anyway, but following the completion of the NFL season last night, we’ve got one less betting option from which to choose.

Sharps don’t seem to mind, though. Tonight, they’ve located three games with some value on a relatively light college hoops slate, including two of the bigger matchups of the night: Louisville-Virginia Tech (7 p.m. ET) and Penn State-Northwestern (8 p.m. ET).


>> All odds as of 2:30 p.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time college basketball odds and track your bets.


Louisville @ Virginia Tech

7 p.m. ET | ESPN

Sharp angle: Under (moved from 137.5 to 136)

As PJ Walsh noted earlier today, bettors aren’t really concerned with Virginia Tech’s recent inability to score. Even though the Hokies mustered only 47 points in Saturday’s matchup against NC State, two-thirds of bets on tonight’s total have hit the over.

Despite that, this number has fallen from its opener.

The 33% of bettors hitting the under have generated 80% of actual money being wagered on the total. Not only does that create a liability for sportsbooks (this is today’s most heavily bet game), but it reveals that the under is drawing significantly bigger bets — ones more likely to be made by sharps.

That indication is confirmed by two Sports Insights Bet Signals, which mark sharp action hitting the under at a total of 137.

Marist @ Canisius

7 p.m. ET | ESPN3

Sharp angle: Under (moved from 142.5 to 141.5)

Make it two unders on Monday’s sharp card.

As was the case in the game above, the over has drawn more attention from bettors in this one, garnering 58% of bets on the total. Once again, though, oddsmakers have had to lower the number in response to action from their sharper customers.

While the bets vs. money discrepancy isn’t quite as hefty — the 42% of under bets have accounted for 46% of money — two more Bet Signals have been triggered on the under, showing professional money landing on the under at the opening number.

Penn State @ Northwestern

8 p.m. ET | FS1

Sharp angle: Penn State (moved from +4 to +3.5)

In what’s on pace to be the third-most heavily bet game tonight, Penn State has fallen from a 4-point dog to +3.5, a move that has been helped in no way by the public.

Seventy-three percent of bettors are laying the points with the short home favorite, but the line has moved away from the popular side yet again thanks to some sharp action.

Per Sports Insights’ Bet Signals, sharps hit the Nittany Lions at the opening number of +4, which caused oddsmakers to rethink this line and ultimately reduce the spread.