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CBB Sharp Report: Pros Betting Oregon-Baylor, 3 Other Friday Games

Dec 21, 2018 3:23 PM EST
Credit:

Oregon Ducks forward Paul White and center Bol Bol. Credit: Troy Wayrynen-USA TODAY Sports

  • Pro bettors are getting down on four college basketball games Friday night, headlined by Oregon-Baylor (7 p.m. ET, ESPN2).
  • Sharps are also betting UC Irvine-Butler (6:30 p.m. ET), East Tennessee State-Wyoming (7 p.m. ET) and Mississippi-Middle Tennessee State (8 p.m. ET).
  • Using the tools at The Action Network, we analyze how wiseguys are betting all four games.

Sharps swung and missed on their two Thursday plays, failing to cash the James Madison-Fordham Over and Utah State spread. Pros don’t sweat a losing night. Sure, it hurts. But there will always be ups and downs.

That’s part of the game. The key is staying the course and sticking to the blueprint, always.

Tonight, wiseguys will look to bounce back and capitalize on a massive 32-game slate.

After consulting the betting tools available at Sports Insights and The Action Network, I’ve identified four games that pros are betting on Friday night, with games starting at 6:30 p.m. ET, 7 p.m. ET and 8 p.m. ET.


>> All odds as of 3 p.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time college basketball odds and track your bets


Betting Terms to Know

Steam Move: Sudden, drastic and uniform line movement across the market caused by an overload of sharp action from respected players.

Reverse Line Movement: When the betting line moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages. It’s a top smart money indicator.

Line Freeze: When one side is getting heavy betting, but the line won’t budge, indicating sharp liability on the other side.

Juice: The tax or commission that bettors must pay sportsbooks in order for them to accept your wager. A -115 juice means a bettor would have to wager $115 to win $100.

Full Sports Betting Glossary


Cal Irvine at Butler

6:30 p.m. ET | Fox Sports 1

Sharp angle: Over (moved from 132.5 to 135)

We’re seeing a classic Pros vs. Joes disagreement with this over/under.

The total opened 132.5. Currently 54% of bets are on the Under, but the total has risen 2.5 points to 135. In a vacuum, a total should fall if the majority of bets are on the under.

What caused this contrarian Over reverse line movement?

Using our Sports Insights Bet Signals, we noticed three separate steam and reverse line moves on the Over. Wiseguys hit the Over 132, Over 132.5 and Over 133.5.

The Over is only getting 46% of bets but 66% of dollars, further evidence of wiseguys banking on a higher-scoring game.

Oregon at Baylor

7 p.m. ET | ESPN 2

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