College Basketball Odds & Pick: Sharp Action Hitting Saturday’s Iowa vs. Gonzaga Spread

College Basketball Odds & Pick: Sharp Action Hitting Saturday’s Iowa vs. Gonzaga Spread article feature image
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  • The Iowa Hawkeyes will take on the Gonzaga Bulldogs in what should be one of the most entertaining matchups of the college basketball season.
  • Even with the game being a high-profile one, sharps have taken notice of the matchup in South Dakota.
  • Danny Donahue breaks down what that means for the game below.

Gonzaga vs. Iowa Odds

Gonzaga Odds -4.5
Iowa Odds +4.5
Over/Under 169
Time 12 p.m. ET
TV CBS
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Two of Saturday’s college football conference championships — the Big Ten and Big 12 — kick off at noon ET, and yet for some, the most exciting game at the hour will come in a different sport entirely.

Of course, for sharps, a game’s excitement doesn’t necessarily matter when it comes to finding betting value, but that certainly doesn’t mean they can’t find any on the marquee matchups.

And as of Saturday morning, they’ve found enough on Gonzaga-Iowa to move the spread.

Note: Odds, data as of 7:45 a.m. ET.

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Gonzaga vs. Iowa Pick

Opening as just a 3-point favorite, Gonzaga is up to -4.5 across much of the market thanks to the big bets it’s taken from sharps.

Sharp Action

As of writing, just 37% of bettors have taken the Zags in this game, which generally wouldn’t inspire movement toward them. So when it does, you can feel fairly confident that the minority consists of some sharp bettors.

Sure enough, a Sports Insights Bet Signal was triggered on Gonzaga late last night, confirming sharp action to be the reason this line moved off its opener.

Sharp Action edge: Gonzaga

Big Money

Also worth noting, as it provides further reason for the line move as well as another hint toward the sharp side, is that the 37% of bettors on Gonzaga have accounted for 63% of money hitting the spread thus far.

Of course, a majority of money creates a liability for sportsbooks, but perhaps more importantly, the difference between the percentage of tickets and cash reveals that Gonzaga is drawing the bigger bettors — the ones more likely to be sharps.

Big Money edge: Gonzaga

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