Oregon vs. Oregon State Odds, Picks, Predictions: Beavers Have Dominated Civil War at Home


Steve Dykes/Getty Images. Pictured: Payton Pritchard

It’s hard to believe, but Dana Altman is now in his 10th season as the Oregon Ducks head coach. After a decade in Eugene, Altman is still a coin flip as a road favorite, posting a 19-18-1 record ATS. He also hasn’t covered at Oregon State in five years.

Is there any value in backing the Ducks in this spot, or will Oregon State’s offensive firepower be enough to tip the scales in the Beavers’ favor?

Here’s my take on the first battle in this year’s Civil War.

Odds as of Saturday morning and via DraftKings, where Action Network users get a risk-free bet up to $500.

Oregon at Oregon State Odds

  • Spread: Oregon-3
  • Over/Under: 140.5
  • Time: 10:30 p.m. ET
  • TV: Pac-12 Network

After writing up Penn-Columbia yesterday, a game that was ultimately postponed due to inclement weather, I got to thinking about scheduling quirks.

The Ivy League is famous for its Friday-Saturday back-to-backs. The Pac-12 also likes to bundle its road trips, but prefers Thursday-Saturday or Thursday-Sunday combinations. Each member of the conference also enjoys at least one week during conference play in which they play a single game.

Both the Ducks and the Beavers have enjoyed a week off, with Oregon hoping to rebound from a shocking 10-point loss in Palo Alto and Oregon State still licking its wounds after a two-point loss at Cal.

Under Altman, Oregon is 14-18 ATS as a favorite in Pac-12 play when rested (6+ days). Oregon State, on the other hand, is 13-11 ATS as an underdog in the same situation under head coach Wayne Tinkle.

On its own, that situational information isn’t meaningful enough to sway the public’s opinion.

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