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2021 NCAA Tournament Odds, Picks & Predictions: Gonzaga vs. USC Total Takes Sharp Action (March 30)

2021 NCAA Tournament Odds, Picks & Predictions: Gonzaga vs. USC Total Takes Sharp Action (March 30) article feature image

Photo by Justin Casterline/Getty Images. Pictured: Isaiah Mobley #3 of the USC Trojans

  • Gonzaga is a big favorite over USC in Tuesday night's 2021 NCAA Tournament Elite Eight (7:15 p.m. ET, CBS).
  • But sharp bettors have their attention on the total, moving it almost immediately after this matchup was settled late Sunday night when Gonzaga stomped Creighton and USC beat Oregon.
  • See how sharps influenced the Gonzaga vs. USC line below.

Gonzaga vs. USC Odds

Gonzaga Odds-8.5
USC Odds+8.5
Time 7:15 p.m. ET

The second set of NCAA Tournament Elite Eight matchups will take place on Tuesday, with USC taking on Gonzaga and UCLA meeting Michigan with trips to Saturday’s Final Four on the line.

The Bulldogs are the tournament’s top overall seed and the current favorites (+125 at BetMGM) to cut down the nets, so it’s no surprise to see them listed at -8.5 for tonight’s game against USC.

Interestingly, professional bettors — those with the resources and respect to move lines — have largely passed on the spread thus far, instead hammering the USC vs. Gonzaga over/under shortly after it opened.

Let’s leverage The Action Network’s betting tools and College Basketball PRO Report to unearth the value that’s so appetizing to sharp bettors.

USC vs. Gonzaga Pick

Sharp Action

The USC vs. Gonzaga total opened at 155.5 and wiseguys wasted little time popping the under.

Action Labs’ Bet Signals have already tracked two steam moves on that side of the total, leaving oddsmakers no choice but to kick this number down to 153 across the market (click here for real-time Elite Eight odds).

PRO Systems

This Elite Eight matchup also fits The Action Network’s Neutral Court Unders PRO System, which finds contrarian value in neutral court matchups with higher totals (defined as at least 145) that are attracting a majority of betting action to the over.

This historically-profitable angle has produced an 881-717-18 (55%) win rate since 2005, so it’s no surprise to see smart money flowing on the USC vs. Gonzaga under.

PRO Report Pick: Under 153

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