Updated AFC East Title Odds

Team | Odds |
---|---|
Buffalo Bills | -25000 |
Miami Dolphins | +4000 |
The Bills have the highest win total in the NFL, so it's no surprise that they're the favorite to win the AFC East in 2022.
Buffalo entered the summer -- after the NFL Draft and schedule release -- at -155 to win the division at Caesars Sportsbook. That means you'd have to risk $1.55 for every dollar you want to win -- $15.50 to win $10, $155 to win $100, etc.
After the summer, they are now even bigger favorites at -230.
The Patriots and Dolphins are next at +475 on Caesars. New England made the playoffs last season and got a nice rookie campaign from Mac Jones but was blown out by the Bills in the opening round. The Dolphins rebounded from a disastrous start to finish strong in 2021, but fell short of the postseason. They added Tyreek Hill this offseason and hired Mike McDaniel from the 49ers as their new head coach.
Lastly, you've got the New York Jets at around +2200 ($10 wins $220). One of the worst teams in the league last season, the betting market is actually fond of this team heading into 2022. Their win total, at just 5.5, has been getting a lot of love despite a tough schedule.
If you do like the Jets but don't think they can best the Bills, DraftKings is offering a Bills-Jets 1-2 finish in the AFC East at +1600.
Odds via Caesars and updated in real-time.
Preseason Updates
May 18: The schedule release didn't do much to change AFC East odds, since we already knew the teams that each team would be playing -- we just didn't know the dates or locations. The AFC East has probably the toughest cross-scheduling in 2022, as it has to play everyone in the loaded AFC West and the NFC North, which will have at least two strong teams in the Packers and Vikings.
April 22: Before the NFL Draft, things looked pretty much the same -- the Bills remained a heavy favorite in the -150 to -200 range depending on the sportsbook, with the Patriots and Dolphins next and the Jets as a longshot at north of 20-1.
March 23: The Dolphins saw a slight bump in all futures markets after trading for Chiefs star WR Tyreek Hill and giving him a new contract. They moved from +550 to +400 to win the AFC East.
Aug 11: The Bills have become massive favorites to win the division at -230.
FUTURES | Consensus | Cons. | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Buffalo BillsBills | -1000 | N/A | -20000 | -25000 | -1200 | -20000 | -10000 | |
Miami DolphinsDolphins | +1100 | N/A | +3300 | +4000 | +850 | +5500 | +3300 | |
New York JetsJets | +1600 | +10000 | +12500 | N/A | +10000 | +13000 | +6600 | |
New England PatriotsPatriots | +3500 | +8000 | +10000 | N/A | +8000 | +12000 | +6600 |
Past AFC East Winners
Odds via Sports Odds History prior to Week 1 of that season.
The Patriots dominated the AFC East for the last two decades, and the betting market reflected that -- they were greater than -200 ($20 wins $10) in 13 of the last 15 years of Tom Brady's tenure there.
Year | Team | Record | Odds |
2002 | New York Jets | 9–7 | +220 |
2003 | New England Patriots | 14–2 | +180 |
2004 | New England Patriots | 14–2 | -160 |
2005 | New England Patriots | 10–6 | -200 |
2006 | New England Patriots | 12–4 | -300 |
2007 | New England Patriots | 16–0 | -600 |
2008 | Miami Dolphins | 11–5 | +2500 |
2009 | New England Patriots | 10–6 | -455 |
2010 | New England Patriots | 14–2 | +135 |
2011 | New England Patriots | 13–3 | -167 |
2012 | New England Patriots | 12–4 | -400 |
2013 | New England Patriots | 12–4 | -400 |
2014 | New England Patriots | 12–4 | -350 |
2015 | New England Patriots | 12–4 | -200 |
2016 | New England Patriots | 14–2 | -225 |
2017 | New England Patriots | 13–3 | -2500 |
2018 | New England Patriots | 11–5 | -800 |
2019 | New England Patriots | 12–4 | -550 |
2020 | Buffalo Bills | 13–3 | -125 |
2021 | Buffalo Bills | 11–6 | -150 |
Buffalo Bills
When you think Buffalo Bills, you think of those early 90s teams that made four straight Super Bowls...and lost four straight Super Bowls. Jim Kelly and the Bills couldn't finish off any of those opportunities and it's hurt them ever since. While they made it to the playoffs nearly every season after that in the 90s, once the new millennium rolled around, the franchise crumbled -- the Bills missed the playoffs from 1999-2017, a stunning draught. But things are turning for Buffalo with the emergence of franchise quarterback Josh Allen, whose led the Bills to back-to-back division titles and some stellar playoff performances. It seems like it's only a matter of time before these new look Bills make it back to the Big Game -- and maybe finally get the job done.
- Playoff Berths: 20
- Division Titles: 11
- AFC Championships: 4
- Super Bowls: 0
Miami Dolphins
The Dolphins were a powerhouse in the NFL during the Don Shula era of the 1970s and 80s, making five Super Bowls and winning two -- including the 1972 team that went a perfect 17-0 and remains the only group ever to go undefeated in a season. Since then, however, Miami has sporadically been relevant in the AFC. Though they made the playoffs in all but two years during the 90s, they've made the playoffs just four times since 2000 and haven't been back to a Super Bowl since 1984. The Dolphins continue to look for the right answer at quarterback and don't seem to have their surefire guy just yet in Tua Tagovailoa. What will it take to bring this team back to the promised land?
- Playoff Berths: 23
- Division Titles: 13
- AFC Championships: 5
- Super Bowls: 2
New England Patriots
The New England Patriots. The cream of the crop during the 2000s and 2010s. Tom Brady, Bill Belichick & Co. won a whopping six Super Bowls from 2001-2018 and made another three appearances as well. Dominating the AFC wasn't always in their blood, with just two conference championships to their name before the Brady/Belichick era. Since then, Foxboro has been the home to many playoff games and wins for New England. But that era ended with Brady's departure in 2020. While Belichick is still in the fold and the Patriots made it back to the playoffs after one season off, we'll have to wait and see if they can return to the fully formed empire they were for nearly two decades.
- Playoff Berths: 27
- Division Titles: 21
- AFC Championships: 11
- Super Bowls: 6
New York Jets
Gang Green did most of their damage on the league back when they were in the AFL, winning Super Bowl III thanks to Broadway Joe Namath & Co. Since then, the Jets have just two division titles to their name and a handful of playoff appearances that haven't amounted to much. Back-to-back AFC Championship berths from 2009-10 during the first two years of the Rex Ryan-Mark Sanchez combination in New York got our attention for a bit...but so did the "butt fumble." The Jets have been searching for the right head coach-quarterback combo ever since. Could Robert Saleh and Zach Wilson finally be the answer to turning things around in the Big Apple?
- Playoff Berths: 12
- Division Titles: 2
- AFC Championships: 0
- Super Bowls: 1