Early Super Bowl Betting Pick: How to Bet the 49ers vs. Chiefs Spread & an Angle for the Over/Under


David Eulitt/Getty Images. Pictured: Patrick Mahomes

Jan 20, 2020, 12:13 PM EST
  • The Kansas City Chiefs opened as slight favorites against the San Francisco 49ers in Super Bowl 54 (spread: Chiefs -1.5), with the over/under set at 53.5.
  • Chris Raybon analyzes all of the advanced stats and recent trends to gives his early pick for the line based on the updated Super Bowl odds.

Super Bowl Odds & Pick: 49ers vs. Chiefs

  • Spread: Chiefs -1.5
  • Over/Under: 53.5
  • Date & Time: Sunday, Feb. 2 at 6:30 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Location: Miami

Odds as of Sunday evening and via FanDuel, where Action Network users get a risk-free bet up to $500.

The Super Bowl 54 matchup is set and Chris Raybon is here to analyze the opening odds. Find his projected spread and over/under below, as well as his early pick.

Super Bowl 54 Spread Analysis

Kansas City was the most profitable team to bet on this season, going 12-5-1 against the spread, covering by an average of 4.56 points. Of course, San Francisco was no slouch, either, going 11-6-1 with an average margin of +6.83.

The Chiefs’ run defense — which ranked 29th in Football Outsiders’ schedule-adjusted efficiency metric (DVOA) during the regular season — was a concern they were ultimately able to overcome against the Titans, holding Derrick Henry to 19 carries for 69 yards in the AFC Championship Game. This 49ers running game may be even scarier, though: They averaged the second-most rushing yards per game over the regular season (144.1) and another 235.5 per game in their two playoff wins.

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