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Brighton 2018-19 Betting Preview: Seagulls Will Avoid Second-Season Swoon

Brighton & Hove Albion 2018-19 Premier League Betting Odds

  • To Win Title: +100000
  • To Be Relegated: +230
  • Point Total: 38.5 (Over -114/Under -116)

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Chris Hughton’s Brighton & Hove Albion were steady as she goes until the very end last season. Though they finished 15th, the Seagulls were just four points away from Newcastle in 10th, and they finished the season with one win in their last six matches. Even though they only amassed 40 points, it was mission accomplished for Brighton in 2017-18.

Hughton bolstered the squad in the summer with a couple of lofty additions. He brought in Bernardo from RB Leipzig to help bolster the defense and followed that up with Alireza Jahanbakhsh, who led the Eredivisie (the top league in the Netherlands) with 21 goals (one per every 135 minutes played) in 2017-18. That type of success doesn’t always translate to the Premier League, but it at least eases the scoring burden on the ageless Glenn Murray.

Brighton could also see a breakout campaign from Dutch winger Jurgen Locadia, who signed with the Seagulls in January. The 24-year-old only found the back of the net once in six Premier League appearances last year, but he’s now had time to get adjusted and could end up being one to watch this season.

In the back, Lewis Dunk and Shane Duffy remain steady, if not spectacular. They are just the type of centerbacks a team like Brighton needs. They aren’t all that flashy, but they get the job done.

Bet to Watch

Brighton’s actual tallies were largely in line with their stats last season. In fact, only Swansea and Huddersfield had a smaller disparity between their actual point total and their expected point total, per Understat.

After reaching the 40-point plateau last year, I think it’s fair to expect Brighton to improve, based on their dealings in the transfer window and the foundation that is already in place at the Amex Stadium. Thus, I see value on the Over 38.5 points.

 

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