League leaders Arsenal (11-2-3) travel to face Everton (7-6-3) at Hill Dickinson Stadium in Liverpool, England this Saturday, with kick-off scheduled for 3:00 PM EST.
The Gunners aim to secure their position at the top of the Premier League table as the festive schedule intensifies. Arsenal is favored at a -170 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (+105o / -135u) goals.
Let's get into my Arsenal vs. Everton prediction.
Arsenal vs. Everton Prediction
Picks: Both Teams to Score – No / Arsenal to Win to Nil
This matchup points toward a game where at least one side fails to score. With Arsenal’s league-best defense against one of the division’s weakest attacks, the conditions are right for a clean sheet.
Arsenal vs. Everton Odds
| Arsenal Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1 -105 | 2.5 105o / -135u | -170 |
| Everton Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1 -135 | 2.5 105o / -135u | +500 |
Arsenal vs. Everton Picks, Parlay
Leg 1: Both Teams to Score – No (-140)
Leg 2: Arsenal to Win to Nil (+137)
Everton enters this match after a 2-0 defeat and now faces an even tougher opponent.
Arsenal, despite a harder-than-expected win last weekend, has only lost two matches all year and boasts a perfect Champions League record. The Gunners, however, sometimes find it difficult to break down teams that defend in a low block, a strategy Everton will likely adopt.
The host's main issue is a depleted squad. A lack of depth and quality options from the bench has been a persistent problem. Injuries compound these woes, with joint-top scorer Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall sidelined.
Furthermore, Iliman Ndiaye and Idrissa Gueye are away on international duty, leaving Everton without three crucial players. Even at full strength, the Toffees are not an attack-minded team, with the third-lowest goal average in the league. Their lack of a clinical edge makes it hard to see them break through the league's best defense.
For Arsenal, the return of center-back William Saliba to full fitness provides a massive boost. His presence strengthens a backline that has conceded a league-low 10 goals.
While Arsenal has shown some vulnerability on the road recently, their need to fend off Manchester City in the title race provides all the motivation they need to secure a professional, disciplined victory.
A high-scoring game seems unlikely, making a narrow win for the visitors the most probable outcome.
Arsenal vs. Everton Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Arsenal | Draw | Everton |
|---|---|---|
| 57.0% | 24.6% | 18.4% |
Projected Total Goals
| Arsenal | Total Goals | Everton |
|---|---|---|
| 1.46 | 2.19 | 0.73 |
Arsenal vs. Everton Betting Analysis
This game is a must-win for Arsenal, with Manchester City close behind in the title race. Mikel Arteta’s team has the technical skill and physical power to control this match.
They lead the Premier League in field tilt, a metric that shows territorial dominance, and they hold possession for nearly 60% of their games on average. Consequently, Everton should not expect to see much of the ball.
Despite their dominance, Arsenal can be methodical, sometimes to a fault. They can be reluctant to overcommit numbers in attack, which makes it challenging to dismantle a deep-lying defense. Everton will almost certainly use this tactic to frustrate the visitors.
Where Arsenal can punish teams is on set pieces. They have scored the joint-most goals from these situations in the league. Even with some defensive absences, William Saliba offers a significant aerial threat that could be Everton’s undoing.
Head-to-head history presents a mixed picture. Everton has failed to win in their last five Premier League games against Arsenal. However, Arsenal’s record at Everton’s home field is poor, with just one win in their last seven visits. The last two league meetings between these clubs ended in draws.
Significantly for our pick, only two of the last six head-to-head matchups saw both teams score, which reinforces the potential for a clean sheet on Saturday.
Check out the best soccer odds before making your Arsenal vs Everton picks.
Arsenal vs. Everton Projected Starting Lineups
Arsenal
Raya; Timber, Hincapie, Saliba, Calafiori; Zubimendi, Odegaard, Rice; Saka, Gyokeres, Madueke.
Everton
Pickford; O’Brien, Keane, Tarkowski, Mykolenko; Garner, Iroegbunam; Dibling, Alcaraz, Grealish; Barry.
