Sunday’s World Cup action starts in Group G with England taking on Panama, followed by Group H matchups between Japan-Senegal and Poland-Colombia.
Here’s a breakdown of the market for each match and which sides the sharps/public are betting.
England vs. Panama, Group G
8 a.m. ET
England made things tougher than they needed to in the opener against Tunisia but shouldn’t have much problem beating Panama. They’re massive -420 favorites and are receiving 61% of moneyline bets, although the public is taking a shot on big dogs Panama (+1677) and the draw (+512).
As for the total, public bettors like the under 2.5 goals, and the juice has been wavering back and forth the entire week. This may be another opportunity to fade the public and take over 2.5.
Japan vs. Senegal, Group H
11 a.m. ET
Somewhat surprisingly, Japan and Senegal both won their opening matches and are tied atop Group H with three points apiece. It’s hard to know just how good Japan are considering they played a man up for nearly the entire match vs. Colombia. Senegal, on the other hand, were impressive in a 2-1 victory over Poland.
Despite the majority of tickets (55%) on Senegal, their odds to beat Japan have moved from +110 to +135 over the last few days.
With a low total of 2 goals, 70% of bettors are taking the over (-128).
Poland vs. Colombia, Group H
2 p.m. ET
Colombia have received more than half the moneyline tickets, but their odds have moved from +100 to +127, signaling some sharper action on Poland to win/draw. Public bettors can’t fathom a team such as Colombia being knocked out in the group stage after they were so impressive in 2014.
Public and sharp bettors do agree on the over, which can be found at 2, 2.25, or 2.5.