Mariners vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - May 17, 2024

Mariners at Orioles

11:05 pm • MASN2

Seattle Mariners

51-45

2 - 9

Baltimore Orioles

43-52

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Means			2.61	2-0
B.Miller			2.95	12-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mariners 51-45	+1.5	+1.5-187	o8.5-110	+113
Orioles 43-52	u8	-1.5+156	u8.5-110	-133

Friday 11:05 p.m.

May 17, 2024

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

Under 8.5-116

J.Means u17.5 Outs+100

J.Means o4.5 Ks-120

1.2u

Has looked good in his first two starts: 8 and 3 Ks with 15 and 9 whiffs - the latter game against Arizona, which is a brutal K matchup for a lefty. SEA with a 26% K% vs lefties (2nd highest mark), and they are 20th in RAA per 100 changeups seen - Means’ put away pitch. 8/10 lefty starters have hit this line vs SEA in full starts.

Featured Insight
Mariners hitters have a hard-hit rate of 43% this season -- fourth best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 42% against the Orioles RPs this season -- fourth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Orioles RPs have a strikeout rate of 26% vs left-handed batters since last season -- fourth highest in MLB. Mariners left-handed hitters have struck out 27% against RHP since last season -- third highest in MLB.

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The Mariners are 30-4 (.882) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .791.

Cal Raleigh has struck out in 35% of PA's this season -- fifth highest in MLB-- second Percentile. Craig Kimbrel has a strikeout rate of 36% this season -- 10th highest among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 19% (6/32) against John Means -- 3rd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% -- second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .141 (9-for-64) against Bryce Miller when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season -- 2nd best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .219 -- 97th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 14% (4/28) against John Means -- 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% -- second Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 24% (15/62) against Bryce Miller this season -- tied for lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% -- second Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 22-26 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 24 of Orioles' 47 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	40-55	18-29	22-26	16-32	22-23
Mariners	40-56	19-27	21-29	20-39	19-15

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	40-52-3	24-21-2	16-31-1	23-23-2	16-28-1
Mariners	53-39-4	22-21-3	31-18-1	31-24-4	20-14

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	43-52	22-25	21-27	21-27	20-25
Mariners	51-45	25-21	26-24	32-27	17-17

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 15th	TOR	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 7	BAL -135
May 13th	TOR	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 7.5	TOR -185
May 12th	ARI	L 2-9	-1.5 L	O 7.5	ARI -127
May 11th	ARI	W 5-4	-1.5 L	U 9	BAL -155
May 10th	ARI	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 7.5	BAL -135

Victor Robles
RF
Robles is out with shoulder
Out

Albert Suarez
RP
Suarez is out with shoulder
Out
Jorge Mateo
SS
Mateo is out with hamstring
Out
Zach Eflin
SP
Eflin is out with back
Out
Kyle Bradish
SP
Bradish is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
SP
Rodriguez is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Wells
SP
Wells is out with elbow
Out
Adley Rutschman
C
Rutschman is out with oblique
Out
Cade Povich
SP
Povich is out with hip
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Miller, P	86	5.1	1	4
RC.Bolton, P	11	0.2	0	1
LK.Snead, P	14	0	0	3
RE.Bazardo, P	30	2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1D.Moore, SS	2-4	2	1	1
2J.Rodriguez, CF	1-4	0	0	0
3M.Garver, DH	1-4	0	0	1
4C.Raleigh, C	2-4	0	0	0
4S.Zavala, C	0-0	0	0	0
5M.Haniger, RF	1-3	0	0	0
5L.Rivas, PR	0-0	0	0	0
5L.Rivas, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
6J.Rojas, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
6J.Rojas, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
7T.France, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
7T.France, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
7T.France, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
8L.Raley, LF	1-4	0	0	0
8L.Raley, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
8L.Raley, RF	1-4	0	0	0
9L.Urias, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
9D.Canzone, PH	1-2	0	0	0
9D.Canzone, LF	1-2	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Means, P	95	6	4	2
RJ.Webb, P	14	0.1	0	0
RY.Cano, P	3	0.2	0	0
RM.Baumann, P	14	1	0	0
LK.Akin, P	11	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	2-5	2	1	2
2A.Rutschman, C	2-4	2	0	1
3R.O'Hearn, RF	1-3	1	0	0
3A.Hays, PH	1-1	1	0	1
3A.Hays, LF	1-1	1	0	1
4R.Mountcastle, 1B	0-4	1	0	0
5A.Santander, DH	0-3	1	0	0
6C.Cowser, CF	2-3	0	0	2
7J.Westburg, 3B	0-3	0	0	1
8K.Stowers, LF	1-4	0	0	0
8K.Stowers, RF	1-4	0	0	0
9J.Mateo, 2B	1-4	1	0	0