Diamondbacks vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - May 11, 2024

Diamondbacks at Orioles

8:05 pm • MASN2

Arizona Diamondbacks

52-59

4 - 5

Baltimore Orioles

51-60

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Means			2.61	2-0
R.Nelson			4.24	10-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Diamondbacks 52-59	+1.5-155	o9-108	+130
Orioles 51-60	-1.5+130	u9-112	-155

Saturday 8:05 p.m.

May 11, 2024

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

ARI +130 (F5)

1.3u

Under 9-120

0.6u

Bet to 8.5 (-102)

ARI +155

0.5u

Bet to +139

ARI +145 (F5)

0.73u

Bet to +130

ARI +152

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Featured Insight
The Orioles have scored 5.2 runs per game on the road this season -- fifth highest in MLB (17 games). The Diamondbacks have allowed 5.2 runs per game at home this season -- fifth highest in MLB (19 games).

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The Diamondbacks are just 83-9 (.902) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.

Eugenio Suarez has struck out in 30% of PA's since last season -- sixth highest in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Craig Kimbrel has a strikeout rate of 34% since last season -- tied for 11th highest among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Ryne Nelson has a strikeout rate of just 32% (112 SO in 354 PAs) with two-strikes since last season -- 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 42% -- second Percentile.

Ryne Nelson has allowed a slugging percentage of .513 (331 Total Bases / 645 ABs) since last season -- tied for 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .417 -- sixth Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 27-30 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 29 of Orioles' 54 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	50-61	23-31	27-30	19-34	29-27
Diamondbacks	51-59	24-30	27-29	28-40	23-19

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	48-60-3	29-23-2	19-37-1	27-24-2	20-35-1
Diamondbacks	54-51-5	26-24-4	28-27-1	34-30-4	20-21-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	51-60	27-27	24-33	24-29	25-31
Diamondbacks	52-59	26-28	26-30	34-34	18-24

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 10th	ARI	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 7.5	BAL -135
May 8th	@WSH	W 7-6	-1.5 L	O 8.5	BAL -167
May 7th	@WSH	L 0-3	-1.5 L	U 8.5	WSH -218
May 5th	@CIN	W 11-1	+1.5 W	O 9	BAL +110
May 4th	@CIN	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 9	BAL +102

John Curtiss
RP
Curtiss is out with elbow
Out

Albert Suarez
RP
Suarez is out with shoulder
Out
Jorge Mateo
SS
Mateo is out with hamstring
Out
Tyler O'Neill
RF
Tyler O'Neill (illness) has been scratched Saturday.
Out
Kyle Bradish
SP
Bradish is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
SP
Rodriguez is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Wells
SP
Wells is out with elbow
Out
Cade Povich
SP
Povich is out with hip
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Nelson, P	87	4.2	3	3
RR.Thompson, P	13	1.1	1	0
LJ.Mantiply, P	9	1	0	0
RK.Ginkel, P	9	1	0	1
RP.Sewald, P	26	1	1	0
RB.Jarvis, P	17	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Marte, DH	1-4	1	1	2
2C.Carroll, CF	0-4	0	0	1
3L.Gurriel, LF	2-5	0	0	1
4C.Walker, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5R.Grichuk, RF	1-3	0	0	0
5J.Pederson, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5J.McCarthy, RF	0-1	0	0	0
6E.Suarez, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
7G.Moreno, C	0-4	0	0	0
8B.Alexander, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
9K.Newman, SS	2-4	2	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Means, P	89	4.2	3	4
RM.Baumann, P	22	2.1	0	0
LK.Akin, P	17	1	1	0
RY.Cano, P	19	1	0	0
LD.Coulombe, P	15	1	1	0
RC.Kimbrel, P	11	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	2-4	1	1	1
2A.Rutschman, C	0-5	0	0	0
2R.McKenna, PR	0-0	0	0	0
2J.McCann, C	0-0	0	0	0
3R.O'Hearn, DH	1-4	0	0	1
4R.Mountcastle, 1B	3-5	1	0	0
5A.Santander, RF	1-4	1	1	1
6C.Cowser, CF	1-5	1	0	0
6C.Cowser, LF	1-5	1	0	0
7J.Westburg, 3B	4-5	0	0	2
8H.Kjerstad, LF	0-3	0	0	0
8C.Mullins, CF	0-1	0	0	0
9J.Mateo, 2B	1-4	1	0	0