Cardinals vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - May 1, 2025

Cardinals at Reds

4:40 pm • FDSMW

St. Louis Cardinals

14-17

1 - 9

Cincinnati Reds

16-15

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Abbott			3.60	2-0
M.Liberatore			3.19	2-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cardinals 14-17	+1.5	-1.5+140	o9-105	-118
Reds 16-15	u8.5	+1.5-164	u9-120	-104

Thursday 4:40 p.m.

May 01, 2025

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

CIN -118 (Live)

A.Abbott u4.5 Ks+105

0.53u

#Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

A.Abbott u4.5 Ks+105

Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

A.Abbott u4.5 Ks+105

1.05u

Abbott has looked strong early (6.7 K/game, 33% K rate), but he’s faced a soft schedule and draws his toughest test yet against the Cardinals. He’s struggled to consistently throw strikes — especially first-pitch strikes — and STL swings at the first pitch at the 6th-lowest rate in the league, giving them a good shot to get ahead in counts. That’s a bad setup against a disciplined lineup, especially with ump Nate Tomlinson who has been squeezing pitchers hard this year. My sim shows slight value on the under (projected -110), but the real signal comes from the S&K 500 model, where Abbott is a strong sell with a +19.4 Priority Score — good for official Club 17 access. He’s cleared this line in 2 of 3 starts, but I have him getting pulled just before he can face the softer 5-7 and 9 spots a third time. Great time to sell high.

S.Steer o0.5 HR+520

1.3u

S.Steer o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-115

0.65u

Over 8.5-115

0.5u

Bet to 9 (+100)

STL +102

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3 MLB Players Props for Thursday’s Slate
Alex Hinton•
May 1, 2025 UTC

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Reds are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 9-7 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 6 of Reds' 15 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	17-14	8-7	9-7	8-7	9-6
Cardinals	14-17	8-7	6-10	1-7	12-10

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	14-16-1	6-8-1	8-8	4-10-1	9-6
Cardinals	16-13-2	7-7-1	9-6-1	5-2-1	10-11-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	16-15	7-8	9-7	9-6	7-8
Cardinals	14-17	10-5	4-12	3-5	10-12

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 30th	STL	L 1-9	+1.5 L	O 9.5	STL -118
Apr 30th	STL	L 0-6	-1.5 L	U 9	STL -150
Apr 28th	STL	W 3-1	+1.5 W	U 9.5	CIN -122
Apr 27th	@COL	W 8-1	-1.5 W	U 11.5	CIN -162
Apr 26th	@COL	W 6-4	-1.5 W	U 10.5	CIN -212

Tyler Stephenson
C
Stephenson is out with oblique
Out
Brandon Williamson
SP
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Julian Aguiar
SP
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
SP
Lowder is out with elbow
Out
Carson Spiers
RP
Spiers is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Liberatore, P	42	3	2	2
RM.Svanson, P	44	2	2	2
RR.O'Brien, P	34	1.2	2	3
LJ.King, P	24	1.1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R
1L.Nootbaar, LF	0-4	0
2M.Winn, SS	0-4	0
3B.Donovan, 2B	1-3	1
4N.Arenado, 3B	1-3	0
4N.Gorman, PH	0-1	0
5W.Contreras, 1B	0-2	0
5A.Burleson, PH	0-1	0
6L.Baker, DH	0-3	0
7J.Walker, RF	0-2	0
8Y.Pozo, C	1-3	0
9J.Barrero, CF	0-3	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LA.Abbott, P	74	4	3	1
RG.Ashcraft, P	31	3	4	0
LT.Rogers, P	12	1	1	0
RL.Mey, P	15	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Friedl, CF	1-4	2	0	0
2M.McLain, 2B	1-5	0	0	1
3E.De La Cruz, SS	0-3	1	0	0
4N.Marte, 3B	2-4	2	0	1
5S.Espinal, LF	2-4	1	0	2
6S.Steer, 1B	2-3	1	1	1
7G.Lux, DH	0-3	1	0	1
8J.Trevino, C	1-3	1	1	3
9B.Dunn, RF	0-4	0	0	0