Wednesday Sharp Report: Pro Players Eyeing Multiple Interleague Matchups
Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports
Much of the betting world will be fixated on tonight's stacked NBA playoff slate and Bruins/Leafs Game 7, but wiseguys remain focused on their first true love: baseball.
After analyzing Wednesday’s massive 16-game slate using Sports Insights’ Sportsbook Insider Pro betting tools, I’ve pinpointed three MLB bets that professional players are focusing on, including games that start at 6:40, 7:10 and 8:15 p.m. ET.
All data as of 3:30 p.m. ET
Atlanta Braves at Cincinnati Reds (-103)
6:40 p.m. ET
The ultimate wiseguy play. The Reds are still the worst team in baseball (5-18, -12.25 units), but they've won two in a row and look to sweep the Braves at home tonight. Gambler's Fallacy says the Reds are destined to lose, but sharps aren't scared. Cincinnati is only getting 18% of bets but 35% of dollars, indicating smart money is on their side. Professional bettors hit the Reds all day across the market, triggering four steam and reverse line moves that pushed Cincinnati from +108 to -103. An added bonus for Goodfellas on the Reds: Brian O' Nora will be calling balls and strikes, a profitable "home" ump since 2005.
Chicago Cubs – Cleveland Indians Under 7.5
7:10 p.m. ET
Despite the marquee pitching matchup of Lester (2-0, 3.10 ERA) vs. Bauer (1-2, 2.67 ERA), public bettors aren't expecting a low-scoring game. More than 60% of bets are taking the Over, yet the total has fallen from 8 to 7.5. Why are books dropping the total to give public Over backers a better number? Because they have big sharp liability on the Under (38% bets, 43% dollars). Wiseguys hit Under 8 at JustBet and Pinnacle, causing market-wide reverse line movement. Two reasons the wiseguys are confident in the Under: the wind is blowing straight in at 10 mph and Lance Barksdale is behind the plate, the second best "Under" ump since 2005.
Milwaukee Brewers at Kansas City Royals (+106)
8:15 p.m. ET
The Royals have crushed bettors all season (5-16, -9.28 units), but sharps see a profitable buy-low opportunity. Kansas City is only getting 31% bets but 48% dollars, making them one of the top bet vs. dollar discrepancy plays of the day. Pro players got down hard on KC at Pinnacle and Carib, causing market-wide reverse line movement in their favor (+118 to +106 since opening). American League teams have crushed Interleague Play historically, a cherry on top for sharp KC backers.
Looking for more in-depth betting analysis? Sign up for a Sports Insights Pro trial and join our Live Betting Hangouts where we break down the board every weeknight from 6:30-7 p.m. ET.
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For more betting info and customer support, you can find me on twitter @Josh_Insights
Pictured: The Royals Alex Gordon (4) is congratulated by Jon Jay (25) after scoring a run against the Milwaukee Brewers.
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