Betting MLB Doubleheaders: Fade or Follow the Game 1 Winner?
The first postponements of the season came on Opening Day, when the Pirates-Tigers and Nationals-Reds games were postponed due to weather related issues. In the first 21 days of the season, 25 games have been rescheduled because of Mother Nature.
According to The Associated Press, this season’s weather-related postponements through April matched the record set in 2007 since Major League Baseball began keeping records in 1986. The postponed games have to be made up, which means doubleheaders.
Six doubleheaders have been played or are scheduled for April. That is one shy of the April record set in 2011 since ESPN began tracking doubleheaders in 2002. Thirteen doubleheaders are planned for the 2018 season and more will be added.
A common approach among bettors when handicapping a doubleheader is to fade the Game 1 winner in the second matchup — the idea being that the team that lost the previous game will be more motivated while the winner might rest starters to avoid fatigue.
The Kansas City Royals and Detroit Tigers are playing a doubleheader Friday (1:10 p.m. ET and 7:10 p.m. ET) as a makeup for a postponed game on April 4. Is this theory true or is there a more profitable strategy when betting MLB doubleheaders?