MLB Friday Weather: Coors Is Back in a Big Way

MLB Friday Weather: Coors Is Back in a Big Way article feature image
Credit:

Chris Humphreys-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Coors Field.

  • The first game at Coors Field takes place on Friday with the Rockies taking on the Dodgers, and although there's a small chance at a shower, the Weather Rating of 91 is easily the best of the young season.
  • The weather in Philadelphia will be very poor for hitting, but the Twins-Phillies game could be rained out thanks to a high chance of persistent rain.

‘Twas 8,745 days ago. Mets-Rockies. Coors Field was born.

Dante Bichette capped off the night with a walk-off jack and celebratory fist pump(s). It was the 20th run, 33rd hit and 13th extra-base hit of the night. Ever since then, Coors Field has been a run-scoring haven.

For the first time in 2019, the vendors in Denver don their yellow Aramark shirts and hold iced delicious Coors high above their heads — praying that the youthful Denver demographic hasn’t fully made the transition from beer to the pot. The Dodgers are in town for a three-gamer and DFS nuts are already trying to cram as many Dodgers and Rockies into their lineups as possible. I don’t blame them.

Here’s the weather:

A Trip to the Lab

Naturally, I’ll be looking at a couple of Coors Field trends for youse.

Since 2005, the over has hit at a 51.7% rate at Coors, including a 54.3% rate with a total of 10.5 or lower (currently 10.5 today). However, overs have hit at a paltry 41.1% rate over the past two seasons, making it the best under stadium in the league during that time.

Why?

About two thirds of the games over the past two years have had totals of 11 or higher, whereas only around 25% of games had totals of 11+ from 2005 to 2016. It’s a great stadium for offense, but the oddsmakers know people know that. They’re in our heads! They also know people like to bet on overs, which is why they’re probably fine with these results.

Furthermore, I imagine the league-wide increase in strikeouts has especially hurt at Coors. It’s not just a great park for home runs, but also a terrific park for doubles and triples thanks to its spacious outfield. Putting the ball in play is vitally important at Coors, and with strikeouts going up and up every year, the lofty offensive numbers at Coors are going to drop.


Highest Weather Ratings 

  • Dodgers at Rockies: 91
  • Red Sox at Diamondbacks: 65
  • Athletics at Astros: 55

Weather Ratings are a proprietary number created by FantasyLabs which are on a 0-100 scale, with 100 being the best hitting atmosphere and 0 being the best pitching atmosphere. It takes into account temperature, wind speed, wind direction, stadium elevation, humidity and atmospheric pressure. 

That’s what I’m talking about right there, baby! With a Weather Rating of 91, this game easily takes the cake for best hitting conditions of the season. After opening at 10.5 (u-120), the juice has moved to (o-115) thanks to more than 70% of bets and dollars on the over. Like I said, the oddsmakers know what we’re thinking …

The second best Weather Rating of the day and the season is in Arizona, where the roof will be open when the Red Sox come to town. They’re basically forced to shut it for the majority of the season so there’s no reason why they wouldn’t leave it open on a nice 80 degree night. That total has remained at 9 since opening.

We have a similar situation in Houston, where cloudy conditions in the upper 70s should allow for an open roof. That has not been confirmed yet as it has with Arizona, so keep your eye out.

Lowest Weather Ratings

  • Twins at Phillies: 5
  • Blue Jays at Indians: 11
  • Mariners at White Sox: 12

The Philadelphia weather is basically the opposite of Colorado. Pure garbage hitting conditions. It may not matter, though, as rain could spoil the evening. More on that in a moment.

The poor weather in Cleveland continues, though the conditions are a tad better than yesterday’s. With Trent Thornton facing Shane Bieber, the over/under has actually risen from 7 to 7.5 since opening.

The make-up game in Chicago is quite similar despite the fact that it’s a day game. Cloudy, raw and temps right around 50 degrees. Sounds like Chicago in early-April, but I wouldn’t know because I’ve never been there.

Inclement Weather

  • Dodgers at Rockies
  • Rays at Giants
  • Twins at Phillies
  • Reds at Pirates

Ahhh, say it ain’t so. Rain at Coors?!? Don’t fret too much, as there is just a slight chance at a passing shower/thunderstorm.

San Fran has some rain in the area in the morning that could linger on into the afternoon, but the rain should either end before first pitch or a little afterwards. Probably no chance of a rain out.

The most concerning weather is also the worst weather, as rain in Philly could certainly postpone this game. High chances of precipitation throughout the day will continue into the night, and although the rain should become more scattered as the night goes on, there may not be a few dry hours in the forecast.

That same system will also impact Pittsburgh a bit, but the rain should clear out around game time. There could be a delay, but I highly doubt a postponement is in the cards.

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