Find Your Next Win
Get 7 Days of EDGE FREE

UFC Fight Night 144 Betting Guide: Can Marlon Moraes Defeat Raphael Assuncao in the Rematch?

Feb 02, 2019 4:05 PM EST

Jason Silva-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Raphael Assuncao (red gloves) fights Marlon Moraes (blue gloves) during UFC 212 at Rio Olympic Arena.

UFC Fight Night 144 betting odds: Raphael Assuncao vs. Marlon Moraes

  • Raphael Assuncao +145
  • Marlon Moraes -175
  • Time: Approx. 10:00 p.m. ET
  • Channel: ESPN+

>> Sign up for The Action Network’s daily newsletter to get the smartest conversation delivered into your inbox each morning.

There will be plenty of action going down in the octagon this Saturday night at UFC Fight Night 144 from the Northeast Olympic Training Center in Fortaleza, Brazil.

No. 3-ranked UFC bantamweight contender Raphael Assuncao will face off with No. 4-ranked Marlon Moraes. The winner could be next in line for a title shot against current champion T.J. Dillashaw.

Assuncao defeated Moraes in June, 2017 at UFC 212 by way of split decision. The fight was a back-and-forth affair was decided by just one strike, as Moraes (44 significant strikes) actually managed to out-land Assuncao (43).

Moraes was on a 13-fight win streak before that loss. He’s since won three consecutive fights against contenders John Dodson (No. 9-ranked bantamweight), Aljamain Sterling (No. 7) and Jimmy Rivera (No. 5).

Meanwhile, the only man to defeat Assuncao since 2011 was Dillashaw back at UFC 200 in July, 2016. Assuncao captured Performance of the Night honors by knocking out Matthew Lopez (NR) in November, 2017. He was last seen winning a one-sided unanimous decision over Rob Font (No. 10) at UFC 226.

Moraes hold a slight size advantage over Assuncao and has demonstrated more knockout power throughout his career. Still, Assuncao has consistently been the more-accurate fighter and has been harder to hit than pretty much everyone in the division with the exception of Dominick Cruz.

Let’s break down some of the matchup’s biggest questions and attempt to find some value with the odds.

How Can Raphael Assuncao Win?