Check out the Jack Hermansson vs. Gregory Rodrigues prediction for UFC 317 on Saturday, June 28, with my betting preview and breakdown.
Hermansson vs. Rodrigues Odds
| Hermansson Odds | +164 |
| Rodrigues Odds | -198 |
| Over/Under | 2.5 (-140 / +110) |
| Location | T-Mobile Arena Las Vegas, Nevada |
| Bout Time | 9:35 p.m. ET |
| TV/Streaming | ESPN+ PPV |
| UFC 317 odds as of Friday and via DraftKings. Bet on UFC 317 with our DraftKings promo code. | |
The UFC 317 prelims culminates in a middleweight showdown between two veterans of the game. with 27 combined UFC fight. Jack Hermansson once again steps into the underdog role against the dangerous Gregory Rodrigues, a spot he was just in prior to his 2024 upset victory over another heavy-hitter in Joe Pyfer.
The value lies with the underdog again on Saturday night in a contest that should be lined much closer.
Here's my Hermansson vs. Rodrigues pick and prediction.
Tale of the Tape
| Hermansson | Rodrigues | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 24-8 | 16-6 |
| Avg. Fight Time | 11:33 | 8:52 |
| Height | 6'1" | 6'3" |
| Weight (pounds) | 185 lbs. | 185 lbs. |
| Reach (inches) | 77" | 75" |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Date of birth | 6/10/1988 | 02/17/1992 |
| Sig Strikes Per Min | 5.09 | 5.63 |
| SS Accuracy | 44% | 53% |
| SS Absorbed Per Min | 3.69 | 4.95 |
| SS Defense | 56% | 51% |
| Take Down Avg | 1.53 | 2.31 |
| TD Acc | 30% | 38% |
| TD Def | 80% | 88% |
| Submission Avg | 0.4 | 0.3 |
Hermansson is a technician; and he also happens to be one of the best in sport at following his coaches’ gameplan to a tee. His 56% striking defense over his sixteen UFC bouts may not jump off of the page, but it is a solid number that he seems laser-focused on improving.
During his victory over the power-punching Pyfer, Hermansson absorbed just 92 of the 250 significant strikes his opponent attempted over the course of five rounds, as Pyfer landed at just a 36% rate.
