This weekend is a motor sports fanatic’s dream, with Formula One’s Moncao Grand Prix, IndyCar’s Indianapolis 500, and NASCAR’s Coca-Cola 600 all lined up on Sunday.

The nightcap of this triple-header is NASCAR’s longest race of the year at 600 miles. Charlotte Motor Speedway has a relatively high did-not-finish rate, and this race often produces surprising winners due to strategy, so it’s a good time to take shots at drivers with longer odds to win. The winning driver in seven of the last 13 Coca-Cola 600s has led fewer than 29 laps.

 

Charlotte is a typical 1.5-mile oval, where long-run speed, year-to-date performance, starting position and 1.5-mile performance are the main factors in my machine learning model. I also use the RotoViz Driver Sim Scores to gauge race-winning upside.

As always, make sure you shop around for the best lines.

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Matthew O’Haren-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Kyle Larson