3 NBA Props for Wednesday: Ilyasova Over/Under 13.5 Points?

3 NBA Props for Wednesday: Ilyasova Over/Under 13.5 Points? article feature image
Credit:

Steve Mitchell — USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Eran Ilyasova.

The FantasyLabs Player Props tool has identified a number of exploitable NBA player props on tonight’s slate, including a half-dozen with a perfect 10-of-10 Bet Quality Rating. Here are three props I like for games starting at 7 p.m. and 8 p.m. ET.

 

76ers G/F Robert Covington Over 14 Points (-125)

7 p.m ET

Covington has gone over 14 points in six of his past nine games, and should be able to extend that to 7-of-10 in Detroit tonight.  In three games against Detroit this season, Covington averages 16.3 points per game against Detroit this season despite a usage rate of only 16.5% in those games. That’s good news for bettors of the over on this prop, as per the FantasyLabs NBA On/Off tool, Covington’s usage rate on the season increases by a whopping 6.7 points, to 24.5%, when both Joel Embiid (eye) and Dario Saric (arm) are off the floor.  The FantasyLabs Models have Covington projected for 17.5 points tonight. (Bet Quality: 10/10.)

76ers PF Ersan Ilyasova Over 13.5 Points (-115)

7 p.m. ET

Like Covington, Ilyasova benefits from the absence of Embiid and Saric, getting a 2.2-point usage rate bump with both of them off the floor this season. The FantasyLabs Models have Ilyasova projected for over 32 minutes tonight, and he’s topped 13.5 points in five of eight games when he’s played over 30 minutes this season. He’s also averaged 21.0 points in 27.5 minutes per game in two games against Detroit this season. He hasn’t been adversely affected by playing on the second night of back-to-backs, either, averaging 13.4 points in 26.9 minutes per game. (Bet Quality: 8/10.)

Celtics SF Jayson Tatum Over 5 Rebounds (-125)

8 p.m. ET

Tatum has ripped down 5.5 boards per game since the beginning of March, and he’s grabbed at least six boards in five of his past seven games. Toronto is in the top half of the league in rebounds allowed per game, but the rookie phenom has topped five rebounds in two of three meetings with the Raptors this season, failing to do so only in a game where he played 21 minutes. The FantasyLabs Models have Tatum projected for 6.6 rebounds tonight. (Bet Quality: 10/10.)