This article offers data-driven analysis on notable NBA player prop bets, often incorporating The Action Network’s public betting data along with the tools at FantasyLabs and Sports Insights.

Monday’s analysis will cover the following three props:

  • Marco Belinelli over/under 11.5 points, Philadelphia vs. Boston, 6 p.m. ET
  • Kevin Love over/under 10.5 rebounds, Cleveland vs. Toronto, 8:30 p.m. ET
  • Kyle Korver over/under 10.5 points, Cleveland vs. Toronto, 8:30 p.m. ET

Looking for more props? Check out the FantasyLabs NBA Player Props tool.

 

Marco Belinelli Over 11.5 Points (-125 at Bovada)

6 p.m. ET | TNT

In 35 games since the All-Star break and including the playoffs, Belinelli is averaging 13.7 points in 27.1 minutes per game. Even if you remove the minutes he logged in overtime of Game 3, he’s played more than 27 minutes in two of the three games of the series, and his per-minute scoring rate since the break affords him some cushion even if he doesn’t reach that figure. He also shot a lot better at home during the regular season, nailing 47.3% of his field-goal attempts in Meek Mill’s hometown compared to 41.3% on the road.

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