- The NBA Injury Report is a daily piece that runs through the slate's key injuries and their betting and DFS impact.
- There is only one key injury to analyze on Tuesday night: the Atlanta Hawks' Taurean Prince.
Tuesday brings just four games, and there aren’t many notable injuries to monitor for once. Dallas Mavericks forward Luka Doncic was ruled in earlier this morning, so the big injury news to analyze is with Atlanta Hawks wing Taurean Prince. Below I’ll detail the betting and DFS impact now that he’s been ruled out.
Hawks SF Taurean Prince is out.
Injury background: Prince suffered a sprained right ankle during the fourth quarter of Saturday’s win, and he’s listed as out vs. the Hornets on Tuesday. It’s his first absence of the season, and Daniel Hamilton was recalled from the G League on Sunday to provide wing depth.
DFS impact if Prince sits out: Prince has started every game at small forward this season and is second on the team in usage and scoring. Omari Spellman replaced Vince Carter as the starting power forward on Saturday, and with Prince ruled out, Kevin Huerter or DeAndre Bembry will likely move into the starting lineup.
When Prince has been off the court this season, rookie Trae Young has led the Hawks with a +8.5% usage rate differential, 1.38 DraftKings points per minute and a +5.4% assist rate differential, per the FantasyLabs On/Off tool. The Hawks have lost five games by at least 14 points this season, which has fluctuated minutes for everyone in the rotation sans Young, and that’ll be the case Tuesday as they enter as 11.5-point dogs.
Betting impact if Prince sits out: While Prince may be one of the Hawks’ core players in terms of minutes and scoring, he’s been among their worst from a real life perspective.
He ranks dead last in Win Shares per 48 minutes, and he’s last in Net Rating among Hawks players who have played at least 100 minutes. The Hawks have been 17.9 points per 100 possessions better with him off the court this season, the biggest differential of any player.
The issue is largely with Prince’s inefficiency, as he’s using 25.1% of possessions while posting an abysmal 47.5 effective field goal percentage and averaging more turnovers than assists. His absence should have no impact on the line and could make the Hawks a good bet to cover the spread if the line moves to 12 or more.