Saturday’s Best NBA Player Props: Betting Derrick Favors Points, More

Saturday’s best NBA player props focus on two of the slate’s four games:

• Milwaukee Bucks at Detroit Pistons: 8 p.m. ET
• Houston Rockets at Utah Jazz: 10:30 p.m. ET

As a reminder, our FantasyLabs NBA Player Props Tool leverages our projections against odds offered at various sportsbooks and grades each prop on a scale of 1 to 10. All odds as of 2:15 p.m. ET. View live odds here.

Pistons SG Wayne Ellington

The Pick: Under 11.5 points (-100)

Ellington has become a big part of the Pistons rotation, and he logged 35.2 minutes in the Pistons last game. That said, he’s not exactly a high-usage player. He’s taken just 10 shot attempts in each of his past two contests, and he’s totaled just 13 points through his first two games this series.

The Bucks rank first in the league defensively, so things don’t figure to get much easier for Ellington today. The Pistons are implied for just 103.5 points, which is the second lowest mark on today’s slate.

The under has a bet quality of 10 in the Player Prop tool, and I’d play it up to -115.

Jazz PF Derrick Favors

The Pick: Over 11.5 points (+110)

The Jazz have not put up much of a fight to start their series vs. the Jazz, losing each game by at least 20 points. That’s limited the playing time for Derrick Favors, who has averaged just 23.3 minutes per game.

Still, he’s managed to score at least 13 points in each contest, and he should see more playing time if today’s contest stays more competitive. The Jazz are currently 2.5-point favorites at home, where Favors has averaged 11.9 points in 22.6 minutes per game this season.

This line seems a touch low, so I’m willing to take a chance at better than even money. I wouldn’t play it at much lower than +110 though.