NBA Sharp Report: Wizards-Bucks Among 3 Wednesday Games Drawing Smart Money
Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Giannis Antetokounmpo and Jeff Green
- Professional bettors are finding value on three of tonight's NBA matchups, including Wizards at Bucks (8 p.m. ET, ESPN).
- Sports Insights' Bet Signals help reveal which way the smart money is going.
Wednesday’s NBA slate isn’t exactly the most exciting we’ve ever seen. That’s not to say there aren’t any betting opportunities, though.
Sharps have found value on three of tonight’s matchup in particular, including one that could close as the most heavily bet of the night: Wizards-Bucks at 8 p.m. ET (ESPN).
>> All odds as of 2 p.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NBA odds and track your bets.
New Orleans Pelicans @ Chicago Bulls
8 p.m. ET | FS-NO
Sharp angle: Over (moved from 223.5 to 227)
Generally, the public tends to flock to overs. No one wants to root for slow games and missed shots, so it makes sense that the majority of games — in pretty much any sport — attract more bettors to the over.
That hasn’t been the case in tonight’s Pelicans-Bulls matchup, though, which makes the line movement on the total all the more interesting.
Only 31% of bets on the total thus far have hit the over. If that figure holds — which is by no means a given — that would tie this for the least popular over of the entire season.
Still, oddsmakers have increased this line from its opening number by 3.5 points.
Those 31% of bettors have accounted for 64% of actual money being wagered, meaning bigger bets — the ones more likely to come from sharps — are among the minority.
Sharps have also triggered two Sports Insights Bet Signals (at 223.5 and 224) on the over, to further convince oddsmakers into a line adjustment.
Washington Wizards @ Milwaukee Bucks
8 p.m. ET | ESPN
Sharp angle: Wizards (moved from +12 to +11.5)
In what will close as one of the two most heavily bet games tonight, the Bucks are drawing a 73% backing. In terms of total number of tickets, that means the Bucks are on pace to attract more bets than any other NBA team tonight.
Once again, though, oddsmakers haven’t been too concerned with which side their square customers are playing. Instead, they’ve been reacting to sharps, who’ve caused them to drop this line away from the public side.
To be fair, several books are holding this line at its opening number, but the fact that it hasn’t risen at all — and has fallen at plenty of others — should tell you all you need to know about what wiseguys are thinking.
Three Bet Signals — all coming at +12 — on the Wizards, serve as confirmation that sharps are in fact taking the points.
Charlotte Hornets @ Dallas Mavericks
8:30 p.m. ET | FS-SE
Sharp angle: Under (moved from 216.5 to 215.5)
Following the pattern set by the first two games on tonight’s sharp card, this total has also moved away from its popular side. While 67% of bettors are on the over, the total has fallen a point from its opener.
Two Bet Signals — one at 217.5 and another at 216.5 — have hit the under, causing oddsmakers to settle on the current number.