Tuesday NBA Sharp Betting Pick: Smart Money Moving Jazz vs. Nuggets Game 7 Over/Under (Sept. 1)
Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images. Pictured: Jamal Murray #27 of the Denver Nuggets
- The over/under for Jazz vs. Nuggets Game 7 opened at 220.5, but has since dropped to 217.5 across the majority of the betting market.
- Most strikingly, 77% of the bets have come in on the over, which suggests that sportsbooks have incurred high liability on the under from sharp bettors.
- Confirming that, Sports Insights' Bet Signals have marked four instances of smart money on the under for Game 7.
After falling behind 3-1 in their Western Conference playoff series against the Utah Jazz, the Denver Nuggets have staved off elimination in two straight games in order to force tonight’s Game 7 (8:30 p.m. ET, TNT).
The betting market is projecting this to basically be a toss-up, evidenced by the spread, which ranges from Jazz -1 to Nuggets -1, with plenty of books at a pick ’em.
Bettors are leaning toward Denver, as our NBA public data is reporting 63% of spread tickets backing the Nuggets.
Sharps, on the other hand, have taken a clear position on the Jazz vs. Nuggets over/under.
Using The Action Network’s betting tools, let’s examine how smart money is moving this total.
Jazz vs. Nuggets Sharp Betting Pick
The Jazz-Nuggets total opened at 220.5 and 77% of all bets have landed on the over. So, why has this number dropped to a consensus of 217.5?
While just 22% of bettors have played the under, those tickets account for 61% of all money wagered.
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Additionally, Sports Insights’ Bet Signals are reporting four separate smart money indicators on the under, marking multiple instances of action from respected bettors forcing oddsmakers to adjust this number.
The majority of bettors are banking on this game going over, yet those with the resources to move the market are in strict disagreement.
Sharp angle: Under (moved from 220.5 to 217.5)