NBA Sharp Report: Wiseguys Betting 4 Wednesday Night Games
Andrew Dieb-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Luka Doncic
- Sharp bettors are affecting lines in four of tonight's NBA matchups, including Mavericks-Hornets (7 p.m. ET) and Pistons-Grizzlies (8 p.m. ET).
- Sports Insights' Bet Signals, along with betting market percentages, help reveal which way the smart money is going.
After a nice stretch of bowl games and NFL action to wrap up the holiday season, it’s back to the hardwood for most of tonight’s betting action.
On the professional side, four of tonight’s nine matchups have drawn the attention of wiseguys, with start times ranging from 7 to 8 p.m. ET.
Miami Heat @ Cleveland Cavaliers
7 p.m. ET | FS-OH
Sharp angle: Cavaliers (moved from +6.5 to +6)
Per Sports Insights’ Bet Signals, sharp bettors have caused the line to fall at least three times by hitting the Cavs twice at +6.5, and once more at +6.
Atlanta Hawks @ Washington Wizards
7 p.m. ET | NBCS-DC
Sharp angle: Wizards (moved from -4.5 to -6.5)
Unlike Cleveland, Washington has drawn a majority backing in this game (54% of bets). While that’s perhaps to be expected, as favorites are usually more popular bets, there’s no rule that says sharps and public bettors can’t be on the same side.
In this case, the Wizards have also drawn six Bet Signals — more than any other team today — driving their line up two points from its opening number.
Also helping the line move, and further suggesting sharp activity on the Wizards, has been the 60% of money behind Washington, meaning bigger bettors — the ones more likely to be sharps — are laying the points.
Dallas Mavericks @ Charlotte Hornets
7 p.m. ET | FS-SE
Sharp angle: Mavericks (moved from +2.5 to +1.5)
While it’s just a 54% majority this time, here’s another case where sharps are in agreement with most bettors.
As was the case with the Wizards, the 54% of bets landing on Dallas have generated a significantly higher money percentage (72%), meaning bigger, probably sharper wagers are behind the Mavs.
Dallas has also triggered three SI Bet Signals (two at +2.5, one at +2), revealing instances of wiseguy-driven line movement that have helped send this line to its current number of +1.5.
Detroit Pistons @ Memphis Grizzlies
8 p.m. ET | FS-SE
Sharp angle: Under (moved from 199 to 198)
Rarely is an NBA total below 200 these days — this is just the fifth of the 553 games this season — and the exceptionally low number seems to be attracting most bettors to the over.
Sixty-eight percent, to be exact, are backing the over, and they’ve accounted for 46% of bets, once again serving as a first sign that sharper bettors may be more attracted to the under.
The more clear signs, however, come from Bet Signals and line movement. According to the Signals, sharps hit this under three times, once at 200 and twice at 199, causing oddsmakers to drop the already low total even further.